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ServiceNow (ServiceNow) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $140.37 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), ServiceNow's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $140.37. The stock price of ServiceNow is $731.36. Therefore, ServiceNow's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 5.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for ServiceNow's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NOW' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.68   Med: 7.78   Max: 10.23
Current: 5.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of ServiceNow was 10.23. The lowest was 3.68. And the median was 7.78.

NOW's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
84.88% of 1263 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.58 vs NOW: 5.21

ServiceNow Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for ServiceNow's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ServiceNow Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.29 53.81 75.09 105.65 140.37

ServiceNow Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 105.65 115.17 123.13 124.59 140.37

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, ServiceNow's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ServiceNow Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, ServiceNow's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ServiceNow's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



ServiceNow Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get ServiceNow's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,542.38.

ServiceNow's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1542.37696+7628*0.8)/206.782
=140.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ServiceNow  (NYSE:NOW) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

ServiceNow's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=731.36/140.37108660592
=5.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


ServiceNow Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ServiceNow's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ServiceNow (ServiceNow) Business Description

Industry
Address
2225 Lawson Lane, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95054
ServiceNow Inc provides software solutions to structure and automate various business processes via a SaaS delivery model. The company primarily focuses on the IT function for enterprise customers. ServiceNow began with IT service management, expanded within the IT function, and more recently directed its workflow automation logic to functional areas beyond IT, notably customer service, HR service delivery, and security operations. ServiceNow also offers an application development platform as a service.
Executives
Paul Edward Chamberlain director C/O VEEVA SYSTEMS INC., 4280 HACIENDA DRIVE, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Paul John Smith officer: Chief Commercial Officer 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Chirantan Jitendra Desai officer: Chief Product Officer C/O ZEBRA TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION, LINCOLNSHIRE IL 60069
Christopher Bedi officer: Chief Information Officer 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Gina Mastantuono officer: Chief Financial Officer 237 PARK AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Russell S Elmer officer: General Counsel
Jacqueline P Canney officer: Chief People Officer 702 SW 8TH STREET, BENTONVILLE AR 72716
Nicholas Tzitzon officer: Chief Strat & Corp Affairs Ofc 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Anita M Sands director 350 ELLIS STREET, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Lawrence Jackson director 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Frederic B Luddy director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHIEF PRODUCT OFFICER
Teresa Briggs director 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Kevin Thomas Mcbride officer: Principal Accounting Officer 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Lara Caimi officer: Chief Customer & Partner Ofc C/O CONFLUENT, INC., 899 W EVELYN AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94041
Deborah Black director 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054

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