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Ashford Hospitality Trust (Ashford Hospitality Trust) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $-2.97 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Ashford Hospitality Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-2.97. The stock price of Ashford Hospitality Trust is $1.34. Therefore, Ashford Hospitality Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ashford Hospitality Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ashford Hospitality Trust was 0.83. The lowest was 0.12. And the median was 0.40.

AHT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 0.66
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Ashford Hospitality Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ashford Hospitality Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ashford Hospitality Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,298.15 138.22 22.93 7.87 -2.97

Ashford Hospitality Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.87 6.62 6.10 0.39 -2.97

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, Ashford Hospitality Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ashford Hospitality Trust Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Ashford Hospitality Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ashford Hospitality Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ashford Hospitality Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ashford Hospitality Trust's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $23.39.

Ashford Hospitality Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*23.39072+-261.143/0.8)/34.907
=-2.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ashford Hospitality Trust  (NYSE:AHT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ashford Hospitality Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.34/-2.9719217210655
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ashford Hospitality Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ashford Hospitality Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ashford Hospitality Trust (Ashford Hospitality Trust) Business Description

Address
14185 Dallas Parkway, Suite 1200, Dallas, TX, USA, 75254
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc. is a real estate investment trust that invests in full-service upscale and upper-upscale hotel properties in the U.S. The company owns and operates its assets through its operating partnership, Ashford Hospitality Limited Partnership. All of its hotels are located across the U.S. and operate under the Marriott, Hilton, Hyatt, Crowne Plaza, and Sheraton brands. Ashford's sole segment is Direct Hotel Investments, through which it owns hotels by acquisition or development. Ashford also provides rest estate investment services, such as mezzanine financing, first mortgage financing, and sales-leaseback transactions. Its revenue streams include Room revenue, Food and beverage revenue, and Other revenue. Room revenue accounts for the majority of total revenue.
Executives
Davinder Singh Sra director 14185 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 1200, DALLAS TX 75254
Deric S Eubanks officer: Chief Financial Officer 14185 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75254
Ansell Benjamin J Md director 14185 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75254
Brookfield Asset Management Inc. 10 percent owner BROOKFIELD PLACE, 181 BAY ST, STE 100, PO BOX 762, TORONTO A6 M5J2T3
Oaktree Fund Gp I, L.p. 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Aif Investment Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Aif Investments, L.p. 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Fund Gp Aif, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGLES CA 90071
Oaktree Fund Aif Series, L.p. 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Fund Gp Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Atlas Ocm Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Bam Partners Trust 10 percent owner 181 BAY STREET, SUITE 300, TORONTO A6 M5J 2T3
Oaktree Capital Management Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Real Estate Opportunities Fund Viii Gp Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Real Estate Opportunities Fund Viii Gp, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 333 S. GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90071