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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-23), Albany International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $51.58. The stock price of Albany International is $88.08. Therefore, Albany International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.
The historical rank and industry rank for Albany International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Albany International was 3.50. The lowest was 1.67. And the median was 2.04.
The historical data trend for Albany International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Albany International Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 31.71 | 40.41 | 46.94 | 45.15 | 51.58 |
Albany International Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 45.15 | 43.91 | 46.24 | 48.70 | 51.58 |
For the Textile Manufacturing subindustry, Albany International's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Albany International's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Albany International's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Albany International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $89.00.
Albany International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | 89.00048 | + | 961.368 | * | 0.8) | / | 31.336 | |
= | 51.58 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Albany International (NYSE:AIN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Albany International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 88.08 | / | 51.583171489968 | |
= | 1.71 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Albany International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Gunnar Kleveland | director, officer: President and CEO | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP., 216 AIRPORT DRIVE, ROCHESTER NH 03867 |
Robert Alan Hansen | officer: Senior Vice President & CTO | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP, PO BOX 1907, ALBANY NY 12201-1907 |
John J Tedone | officer: VP - Controller & CAO | 501 DUNN ROAD, COVENTRY CT 06238 |
Robert D. Starr | officer: CFO & Treasurer | 10 STOCKBRIDGE DRIVE, AVON CT 06001 |
Elisabeth Indriani | officer: CAO & Corporate Controller | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP., 216 AIRPORT DRIVE, ROCHESTER NH 03867 |
John Michael Mcquade | director | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP, 216 AIRPORT DRIVE, ROCHESTER NH 03867 |
Katharine Plourde | director | 120 EAST END AVE, NEW YORK NY 10028 |
Erland E Kailbourne | director | C/O RAND CAPITAL CORP, 2200 RAND BUILDING, BUFFFALO NY 14203 |
Russell Toney | director | 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515 |
Christina M Alvord | director | 1200 URBAN CENTER DRIVE, BIRMINGHAM AL 35242 |
Daniel A Halftermeyer | officer: President, MC | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP., P.O. BOX 1907, ALBANY NY 12201-1907 |
Christine L Standish | director | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP, PO BOX 1907, ALBANY NY 12201-1907 |
David M Pawlick | officer: Vice President-Controller | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP., P.O. BOX 1907, ALBANY NY 12201-1907 |
Alice Mccarvill | officer: Exec VP Human Resources | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP., 216 AIRPORT DRIVE, ROCHESTER NH 03867 |
Gregory N Harwell | officer: President- AEC | C/O ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP., 216 AIRPORT DRIVE, ROCHESTER NH 03867 |
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