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Armstrong World Industries (Armstrong World Industries) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $43.16 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Armstrong World Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Armstrong World Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.16. The stock price of Armstrong World Industries is $115.96. Therefore, Armstrong World Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Armstrong World Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AWI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.04   Med: 3.88   Max: 8.16
Current: 2.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Armstrong World Industries was 8.16. The lowest was 2.04. And the median was 3.88.

AWI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.68% of 1138 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.915 vs AWI: 2.69

Armstrong World Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Armstrong World Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Armstrong World Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Armstrong World Industries Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.16 23.14 25.54 33.68 43.16

Armstrong World Industries Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.68 36.49 39.54 42.69 43.16

Competitive Comparison of Armstrong World Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Armstrong World Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Armstrong World Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Armstrong World Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Armstrong World Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Armstrong World Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Armstrong World Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $129.57.

Armstrong World Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.069452086404*129.568+591.8*0.8)/44.200
=43.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Armstrong World Industries  (NYSE:AWI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Armstrong World Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=115.96/43.160334116089
=2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Armstrong World Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Armstrong World Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Armstrong World Industries (Armstrong World Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2500 Columbia Avenue, Lancaster, PA, USA, 17603
Armstrong World Industries Inc is engaged in the design, innovation and manufacture of ceiling and wall solutions in the Americas. The products include mineral fiber, fiberglass wool, metal, wood, wood fiber, glass-reinforced-gypsum and felt. The company also manufactures ceiling suspension system (grid) products through a joint venture with Worthington Industries, Inc. called Worthington Armstrong Venture (WAVE).
Executives
Victor Grizzle director, officer: CEO 2500 COLUMBIA AVE, LANCASTER PA 17604-3001
Monica M. Maheshwari officer: SVP, Human Resources 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Mark A Hershey officer: See Remarks ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES, INC., 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17604-3001
Christopher P. Calzaretta officer: SVP & CFO 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Richard D Holder director EATON CENTER, 1111 SUPERIOR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44114
William H Osborne director 1415 WEST 22ND STREET, SUITE 1100, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Jill A. Crager officer: SVP Sales Operations 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Dawn M. Kirchner-king officer: SVP & CIO 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Ellen R. Romano officer: SVP, Human Resources C/O 2500 COLUMBIA AVE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Austin So officer: SVP Gen Cnsl, Compliance C/O STONEMOR PARTNERS L.P., 3600 HORIZON BOULEVARD, TREVOSE PA 19053
Charles M Chiappone officer: SVP, Ceiling Solutions 2500 COLUMBIA AVE, LANCASTER PA 17603
James T. Burge officer: Vice President & Controller 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Stephen F Mcnamara officer: VP, Controller C/O ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES, INC., PO BOX 3001, LANCASTER PA 17604
Roy W Templin director ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES, INC., 2500 COLUMBIA AVENUE, LANCASTER PA 17603
Barbara Loughran director 1999 BRYAN STREET, DALLAS TX 75201