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American Water Works Co (American Water Works Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $8.73 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), American Water Works Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.73. The stock price of American Water Works Co is $113.82. Therefore, American Water Works Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 13.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Water Works Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AWK' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.32   Med: 5.62   Max: 22.28
Current: 13.04

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of American Water Works Co was 22.28. The lowest was 3.32. And the median was 5.62.

AWK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
95.69% of 371 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.02 vs AWK: 13.04

American Water Works Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Water Works Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Water Works Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.51 15.27 15.14 6.84 8.73

American Water Works Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.84 13.78 12.24 13.05 8.73

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, American Water Works Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Water Works Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, American Water Works Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Water Works Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



American Water Works Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get American Water Works Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-613.44.

American Water Works Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.9881567514702*-613.44+9797*0.8)/196.000
=8.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Water Works Co  (NYSE:AWK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

American Water Works Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=113.82/8.7268628692761
=13.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Water Works Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of American Water Works Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


American Water Works Co (American Water Works Co) Business Description

Address
1 Water Street, Camden, NJ, USA, 08102-1658
American Water Works is the largest investor-owned U.S. water and wastewater utility, serving approximately 3.5 million customers in 16 states. It provides water and wastewater services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and operates predominantly in regulated markets. The company's nonregulated business is water services for military bases, which operates under long-term contracts with regulated-like returns.
Executives
Michael Marberry director 3050 SPRUCE STREET, ST. LOUIS MO 63103
Martha Clark Goss director C/O OCWEN FINANCIAL CORPORATION, 1661 WORTHINGTON RD, SUITE 100, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33409
Laurie P. Havanec director ONE CARRIER PLACE, FARMINGTON CT 06032
Melanie M Kennedy officer: SVP, Human Resources 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
John C. Griffith officer: EVP Chief Financial Officer 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
James H Gallegos officer: EVP and General Counsel 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
Cheryl Norton officer: SVP,Chief Envrn Off & East Div 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
Melissa K. Wikle officer: Vice President and Controller 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
Walter Lynch officer: Executive VP, Eastern Division 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
Maureen Duffy officer: VP,Corp.Comm.&External Affairs 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
Adam W. Noble officer: Chief Tech. & Innov. Officer 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
Lloyd M Yates director 1N 2ND ST, HARTSVILLE SC 29550
Bruce A Hauk officer: Pres, Reg. Ops & Military Serv 110 W. TAYLOR STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Kevin B Kirwan officer: SVP, Chief Op Excel&Safety Off 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658
Michael A Sgro officer: Interim General Counsel 1 WATER STREET, CAMDEN NJ 08102-1658