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American States Water Co (American States Water Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $5.17 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), American States Water Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $5.17. The stock price of American States Water Co is $69.25. Therefore, American States Water Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 13.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for American States Water Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AWR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.55   Med: 3.9   Max: 15.56
Current: 13.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of American States Water Co was 15.56. The lowest was 1.55. And the median was 3.90.

AWR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
95.15% of 371 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.02 vs AWR: 13.39

American States Water Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for American States Water Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 17.98 [6] => 13.77 [7] => 11.42 [8] => 11.64 [9] => 5.17 )
American States Water Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.98 13.77 11.42 11.64 5.17

American States Water Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.64 10.62 9.52 7.84 5.17

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, American States Water Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American States Water Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, American States Water Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American States Water Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



American States Water Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get American States Water Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-38.76.

American States Water Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.069452086404*-38.76032+776.109*0.8)/37.116
=5.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American States Water Co  (NYSE:AWR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

American States Water Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=69.25/5.1684366555214
=13.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American States Water Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of American States Water Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


American States Water Co (American States Water Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
630 E. Foothill Boulevard, San Dimas, CA, USA, 91773-1212
American States Water Co is water and utilities holding company based in California. The segments of the firm include water, electric, and contracted services. Within these segments, American States Water conducts water and electric operations through Golden State Water Company and contracted services through American States Utility Services and its subsidiaries. Golden State Water conducts its operations across various counties in California and is regulated by the California Public Utilities Commission. American States Utility Services has contracted with the U.S. government to provide water services to various military installations. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from water services from commercial and residential customers.
Executives
Anne M Holloway director
Steven D Davis director
Thomas A. Eichelberger director 630 E FOOTHILL BLVD, SAN DIMAS CA 91773
Roger M Ervin director 630 E FOOTHILL BLVD, SAN DIMAS CA 91773
Sarah J Anderson director 3633 E. INLAND EMPIRE BLVD., SUITE 480, ONTARIO CA 91764
Hodges Granville R Jr officer: Vice President 2712 HARTFORD AVENUE, FULLERTON CA 92835
David R Schickling officer: Vice President Water Operation 630 E FOOTHILL BLVD, SAN DIMAS CA 91773
Susan P. Miller officer: Vice President 630 E. FOOTHILL BLVD., SAN DIMAS CA 91773
Bryan K Switzer officer: Vice President 630 EAST FOOTHILL BOULEVARD, SAN DIMAS CA 91773
Christopher H Connor officer: SVP of ASUS 630 E FOOTHILL BLVD, SAN DIMAS CA 91773
Jon Pierotti officer: Vice President Reg Affairs 630 E FOOTHILL BLVD, SAN DIMAS CA 91773
John R Fielder director SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EDISON CO, P O BOX 800, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
James L Anderson director 8828 N. STEMMONS FREEWAY, SUITE 106, DALLAS TX 75247
Diana M Bonta director 1056 ALVIRA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90035
Eva G Tang officer: Vice President 1544 MANOR GATE DRIVE, HACIENDA HEIGHTS CA 91745-3833