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Blackstone Mortgage Trust (Blackstone Mortgage Trust) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $39.78 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $39.78. The stock price of Blackstone Mortgage Trust is $19.15. Therefore, Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BXMT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.47   Med: 0.91   Max: 1.11
Current: 0.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Blackstone Mortgage Trust was 1.11. The lowest was 0.47. And the median was 0.91.

BXMT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
71.77% of 549 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs BXMT: 0.48

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.27 37.69 39.95 38.70 39.78

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.70 37.30 37.92 39.91 39.78

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blackstone Mortgage Trust Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Blackstone Mortgage Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $355.15.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*355.15472+4367.711*0.8)/172.826
=39.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blackstone Mortgage Trust  (NYSE:BXMT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.15/39.782015468543
=0.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blackstone Mortgage Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Blackstone Mortgage Trust (Blackstone Mortgage Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
345 Park Avenue, 24th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10154
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc is a real estate finance company primarily involved in the origination and purchase of senior loans collateralized by commercial properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. The vast majority of the company's asset portfolio is comprised of floating rate loans secured by priority mortgages. These mortgages are mainly derived from office, hotel, and manufactured housing properties. A significant percentage of the collateralized real estate properties are located in New York, California, and the United Kingdom. Blackstone Mortgage Trust is managed by a subsidiary of The Blackstone Group and benefits from the market data provided by its parent company. Nearly all of Blackstone Mortgage Trust's revenue is generated in the form of interest income.
Executives
Marone Anthony F. Jr officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Katharine A Keenan director, officer: CEO & President C/O BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Nnenna Lynch director 4040 WILSON BOULEVARD, SUITE1000, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Lynne B Sagalyn director
Leonard W Cotton director 625 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Henry N Nassau director 435 DEVON PARK DR, BLDG 600, WAYNE PA 19087
Thomas E Dobrowski director MANUFACTURED HOME COMMUNTIES INC, 2 N RIVERSIDE PLZ #8, CHICAGO IL 60606
Timothy Steven Johnson director C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Michael B. Nash director C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Gilda Perez-alvarado director C/O SONDER HOLDINGS, INC., 101 15TH ST., SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Jonathan Lee Pollack director C/O BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, INC., 345 PARK AVE., 42ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Douglas N. Armer officer: Principal and Treasurer C/O BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Stephen D Plavin director, officer: CEO OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS INC, 900 VICTORS WAY SUITE 350, ANN ARBOR MI 48108
Thomas C Ruffing officer: CCO, Head of Asset Management C/O CAPITAL TRUST, INC. 410 PARK AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Paul D Quinlan officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154