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Central Puerto (Central Puerto) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $4.04 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), Central Puerto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.04. The stock price of Central Puerto is $9.49. Therefore, Central Puerto's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Central Puerto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CEPU' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.03   Med: 1.1   Max: 23.27
Current: 2.35

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Central Puerto was 23.27. The lowest was 0.03. And the median was 1.10.

CEPU's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
77.09% of 371 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.02 vs CEPU: 2.35

Central Puerto Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Central Puerto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Central Puerto Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.51 0.95 4.98 8.96 6.31

Central Puerto Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.71 6.31 6.49 6.32 5.30

Competitive Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Central Puerto's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Central Puerto Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Central Puerto's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Central Puerto's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Central Puerto Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Central Puerto's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $110.51.

Central Puerto's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*110.50544+1546.144*0.8)/150.162
=15.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Central Puerto  (NYSE:CEPU) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Central Puerto's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=9.49/15.243309506179
=0.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Central Puerto Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Central Puerto (Central Puerto) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Avenida Thomas Edison 2701, Darsena E, Buenos Aires, ARG, C1104BAB
Central Puerto SA is a private sector power generation company. It is mainly engaged in electric power generation and commercialization. The company is also involved in the natural gas distribution public sector service in the Cuyo and Centro regions in Argentina. The Group has three reporting segments: production of electric power from conventional sources, production of electric power from renewable sources and natural gas transport and distribution. The company derives maximum revenue from Electric Power Generation from conventional sources segment.