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Chemed (Chemed) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $269.74 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Chemed Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Chemed's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $269.74. The stock price of Chemed is $617.95. Therefore, Chemed's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chemed's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.09   Med: 2.57   Max: 3.61
Current: 2.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Chemed was 3.61. The lowest was 1.09. And the median was 2.57.

CHE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
73.77% of 305 companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 1.29 vs CHE: 2.29

Chemed Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chemed's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chemed Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Chemed Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 121.84 173.89 182.66 208.40 269.74

Chemed Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 208.40 217.02 222.97 262.60 269.74

Competitive Comparison of Chemed's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Chemed's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chemed's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Chemed's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chemed's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Chemed Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Chemed's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $263.41.

Chemed's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.267806016876*263.41312+1107.876*0.8)/15.266
=269.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chemed  (NYSE:CHE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Chemed's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=617.95/269.73679146207
=2.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chemed Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chemed's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chemed (Chemed) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
255 East Fifth Street, Suite 2600, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45202-4726
Chemed Corp operates subsidiaries in two main segments: VITAS and Roto-Rooter. The VITAS segment generates the majority of the firm's revenue. It provides hospice and palliative-care services to patients with terminal illnesses through a network of physicians, registered nurses, home health aides, social workers, and volunteers. The vast majority of the segment's revenue is received from the Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement programs. The Roto-Rooter segment provides plumbing, drain cleaning, water restoration, and related services to residential and commercial customers. Chemed generates the majority of its revenue from business in the United States.
Executives
Kevin J Mcnamara director, officer: president & ceo 2500 CHEMED CENTER, 255 EAST FIFTH ST, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Spencer S Lee officer: vice president 2500 CHEMED CENTER, 255 EAST FIFTH ST, CINCINNATI OH 45202
David Patrick Williams officer: Vice President & CFO
Nicholas Michael Westfall officer: Executive Vice President 8035 PEREGRINE LANE, CINCINNATI OH 45243
Patrick P Grace director 1100 PARK AVE, APT 15C, NEW YORK NY 10128
Eileen P Mccarthy director 3515 78TH STREET, #2, JACKSON HEIGHTS NY 11372
Michael D Witzeman officer: vice president and controller 255 E 5TH STREET, SUITE 2600, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Mount John Meredith Jr. director 2906 MABRY ROAD NE, ATLANTA GA 30319
Donald E Saunders director 306 MIANI TRAIL, OXFORD OH 45056
Christopher J Heaney director 101 S. FORT LAUDERDALE BEACH BLVD., APARTMENT 1602, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33316
Ron Delyons director 2692 MADISON ROAD, SUITE N1-313, CINCINNATI OH 45208
Naomi C Dallob officer: VP and Chief Legal Officer 255 EAST FIFTH STREET, SUITE 2600, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Thomas C Hutton director, officer: vice president ONE ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, STE 1510, NEW YORK NY 10020
Walsh George J Iii director ONE CHASE MANHATTAN PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10005
Andrea R Lindell director