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Coty (COTY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $6.55 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Coty's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.55. The stock price of Coty is $11.04. Therefore, Coty's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Coty's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

COTY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.54   Med: 1.38   Max: 2.43
Current: 1.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Coty was 2.43. The lowest was 0.54. And the median was 1.38.

COTY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
65.74% of 1223 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.11 vs COTY: 1.69

Coty Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Coty's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Coty Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.02 5.74 5.63 4.70 5.11

Coty Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.94 4.97 5.11 5.55 6.55

Competitive Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Coty's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coty Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Coty's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coty's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Coty Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Coty's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $251.12.

Coty's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*251.12+4567.2*0.8)/922.800
=6.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Coty  (NYSE:COTY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Coty's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.04/6.5501849726687
=1.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Coty Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Coty's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Coty (COTY) Business Description

Address
350 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10118
Coty is a global beauty maker that focuses on fragrance (59% of sales) and color cosmetics (28%), with limited exposure to skincare (5%) and body care (8%). For its fragrance business, Coty licenses luxury and high-end brands including Gucci, Burberry, Hugo Boss, Davidoff, and Calvin Klein, while its consumer cosmetics business focuses on acquired mass brands such as CoverGirl, Max Factor, Rimmel, Sally Hansen, and Bourjois. It also collaborates with social media celebrities Kim Kardashian and Kylie Jenner to launch makeup products bearing their names. By region, Coty generates close to 45% of sales from Europe, 30% from North America, 10% from Asia, and 8% from Latin America, with the rest from travel retail. German investment firm JAB is a controlling shareholder, with a 53% stake.
Executives
Isabelle Parize director 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Jab Holdings B.v. 10 percent owner PIET HEINKADE 55, AMSTERDAM P7 NL 1019 GM
Maria Asunicion Aramburuzabala director PASEO DE LOS TAMARINDOS 400, TORRE B PISO 25, MEXICO DF O5 0000
Priya Srinivasan officer: Chief People & Purpose Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Rochet Lubomira director 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Olivier Goudet director 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Robert S Singer director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Bretten Gordon Von officer: Chief Transformation Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Kkr Rainbow Aggregator L.p. 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4200, NEW YORK NY 10019
Kkr Group Partnership L.p. 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Laurent Mercier officer: Chief Financial Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Anna Adeola Makanju director 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Bayern Anna Von officer: Chief Corp. Affairs Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Johannes P Huth director
Sue Nabi director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118