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Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $17.50 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.50. The stock price of Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT is $6.73. Therefore, Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

EARN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.29   Med: 0.36   Max: 0.43
Current: 0.38

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT was 0.43. The lowest was 0.29. And the median was 0.36.

EARN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
80.87% of 549 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs EARN: 0.38

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.14 30.56 29.12 23.84 17.50

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.84 23.79 19.86 17.60 17.50

Competitive Comparison of Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $19.22.

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*19.21888+136.238*0.8)/16.682
=17.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT  (NYSE:EARN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.73/17.501552264756
=0.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
53 Forest Avenue, Old Greenwich, CT, USA, 06870
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT is principally engaged in the business of acquiring, investing in, and managing residential mortgage- and real estate-related assets through its wholly-owned subsidiaries. The company's primary objective is to generate attractive current yields and risk-adjusted total returns for shareholders by investing in assets that compensate appropriately for the risks associated with them.
Executives
Mary E Mcbride director 6199 E. PRINCETON CIRCLE, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Blackstone Holdings Iii L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Chukudi Melvin Ike director 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Ronald I Simon director 485 MADISON AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Laurence Penn director, officer: CEO and President 52 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
John Herlihy officer: Chief Operating Officer 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Chris Smernoff officer: Chief Financial Officer 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Mark Tecotzky officer: Co-Chief Investment Officer 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Michael W Vranos director, officer: Co-Chief Investment Officer 52 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
David Miller director 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Bto Earn Manager L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Earn Holdings L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Stephen A Schwarzman 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Btoa L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings Iii Gp Management L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154

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