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Gates Industrial (Gates Industrial) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $19.03 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Gates Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.03. The stock price of Gates Industrial is $17.545. Therefore, Gates Industrial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gates Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GTES' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.71   Med: 0.72   Max: 1.12
Current: 0.92

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Gates Industrial was 1.12. The lowest was 0.71. And the median was 0.72.

GTES's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
70.72% of 1892 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.5 vs GTES: 0.92

Gates Industrial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gates Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gates Industrial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 14.18 15.78 19.03

Gates Industrial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.78 16.13 16.95 17.84 19.03

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Gates Industrial's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gates Industrial Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Gates Industrial's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gates Industrial's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Gates Industrial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Gates Industrial's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $263.30.

Gates Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*263.296+3220.2*0.8)/267.129
=19.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gates Industrial  (NYSE:GTES) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Gates Industrial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=17.545/19.02762520659
=0.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gates Industrial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gates Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Gates Industrial (Gates Industrial) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1144 Fifteenth Street, Denver, CO, USA, 80202
Gates Industrial Corp PLC is a manufacturer of engineered power transmission and fluid power solutions. The company has two operating segments; Power Transmission and Fluid Power segments. The Power Transmission solutions convey power and control motion. They are used in applications in which belts, chains, cables, geared transmissions, or direct drives transfer power from an engine or motor to another part or system. The Fluid power solutions are used in applications in which hoses and rigid tubing assemblies either transfer power hydraulically or convey fluids, gases, or granular materials from one location to another. The company generates key revenue from the Power Transmission segment.
Executives
Omaha Aggregator (cayman) L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP L.P., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Gates Ml-1 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Inc. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Gwendolyn Ann Montgomery officer: SVP, Global Human Resources 33587 WALKER RD, AVON LAKE OH 44012
Fredrik J Eliasson director 500 WATER STREET, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Seth Meisel director C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Wilson S Neely director C/O GATES INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 FIFTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Bx Gates Ml-5 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Gates Ml-4 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Gates Ml-3 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Gates Ml-2 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Alicia L. Tillman director C/O GATES INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 FIFTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Thomas G. Pitstick officer: CMO & SVP Strategic Planning C/O GATES INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 FIFTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Peifang Zhang director 21640 E. BRIARWOOD DR., AURORA CO 80016
James W Ireland director C/O GATES INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 15TH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202