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Hormel Foods (Hormel Foods) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $26.04 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), Hormel Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $26.04. The stock price of Hormel Foods is $33.90. Therefore, Hormel Foods's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hormel Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HRL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.17   Med: 1.88   Max: 2.31
Current: 1.3

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hormel Foods was 2.31. The lowest was 1.17. And the median was 1.88.

HRL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
57.12% of 1222 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.11 vs HRL: 1.30

Hormel Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hormel Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hormel Foods Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.83 23.26 23.73 24.92 25.79

Hormel Foods Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.16 25.49 25.82 25.79 26.04

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Hormel Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hormel Foods Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Hormel Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hormel Foods's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hormel Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hormel Foods's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $800.29.

Hormel Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.9881567514702*800.28576+7844.111*0.8)/547.920
=26.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hormel Foods  (NYSE:HRL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hormel Foods's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=33.90/26.041517770568
=1.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hormel Foods Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hormel Foods's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hormel Foods (Hormel Foods) Business Description

Address
1 Hormel Place, Austin, MN, USA, 55912-3680
Historically meat-focused, Hormel Foods broadened its lineup to include other protein offerings and become a branded food company. The firm sells its wares through multiple channels, including U.S. retail (64% of fiscal 2023 sales), U.S. food service (30%), and international (6%). By product, 53% of fiscal 2022 sales were from perishable food, 27% from shelf-stable, 17% from poultry, and 3% from other products. Major brands include Hormel, Spam, Jennie-O, Columbus, Applegate, Planters, and Skippy. Many of these hold the number one or two market share in their respective categories.
Executives
Susan K Nestegard director AMERICAN CAPITAL, LTD., 2 BETHESDA METRO, 14TH FLOOR, BETHESDA MD 20814
Kevin L Myers officer: Vice President 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
Deanna T Brady officer: Vice President 1 HORMEL STREET, AUSTIN MN 55912
Elsa A Murano director 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912-3680
Pierre M Lilly officer: SVP & Chief Compliance Officer 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
Mark J Ourada officer: Group Vice President 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
Mark A Coffey officer: Vice President 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
Prado Becerra Jose Luis director 50 S. LASALLE STREET, CHICAGO IL 60603
Ray G Young director 77 WEST WACKER DR., SUITE 4600, CHICAGO IL 60601
Michael Paul Zechmeister director C/O UNITED NATURAL FOODS, INC., 313 IRON HORSE WAY, PROVIDENCE RI 02908
Patrick J Connor officer: Vice President 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
James P Snee officer: Vice President 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
Katherine M Losness-larson officer: Senior Vice President 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
Florence Makope officer: Vice President and Treasurer 1 HORMEL PLACE, AUSTIN MN 55912
Christopher J. Policinski director 4001 LEXINGTON AVENUE N., ARDEN HILLS MN 55126

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