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Humana Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $376.39 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-13), Humana's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $376.39. The stock price of Humana is $496.88. Therefore, Humana's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Humana's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HUM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.3   Med: 1   Max: 2.03
Current: 1.32

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Humana was 2.03. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 1.00.

HUM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
75% of 12 companies
in the Healthcare Plans industry
Industry Median: 1.07 vs HUM: 1.32

Humana Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Humana's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Humana Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 146.41 175.71 229.43 299.77 357.01

Humana Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 309.95 373.83 357.01 361.82 376.39

Competitive Comparison

For the Healthcare Plans subindustry, Humana's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Humana Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Healthcare Plans industry and Healthcare sector, Humana's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Humana's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Humana Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Humana's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2,716.16.

Humana's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.048222848751*2716.16+15490*0.8)/127.084
=376.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Humana  (NYSE:HUM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Humana's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=496.88/376.38932495722
=1.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Humana Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Humana's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Humana Business Description

Humana logo
Industry
Address
500 West Main Street, Louisville, KY, USA, 40202
Humana is one of the largest private health insurers in the U.S. with a focus on administering Medicare Advantage plans. The firm has built a niche specializing in government-sponsored programs, with nearly all its medical membership stemming from individual and group Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and the military's Tricare program. The firm is also a leader in stand-alone prescription drug plans for seniors enrolled in traditional fee-for-service Medicare. Humana offers employer-based plans primarily for small businesses along with specialty insurance offerings such as dental, vision, and life. Beyond medical insurance, the company provides other healthcare services, including primary-care services, at-home services, and pharmacy benefit management.
Executives
Koeberlein Michael A. officer: SVP, Chief Accting Off & Cont. 500 W MAIN ST. LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Agwunobi, M.d. Andrew C. officer: Seg. President, Home Solutions HUMANA INC. 500 W MAIN STREET LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Feinberg David T director 12525 CHADRON AVENUE HAWTHORNE CA 90250
Schick Susan D. officer: Seg Pres. Grp. & Military Bus. 500 W. MAIN ST. LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Mesquita Jorge S. director C/O KRAFT FOODS INC. THREE LAKES DRIVE NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Klevorn Marcy S director ONE AMERICAN ROAD DEARBORN MI 48126
Bono Raquel C. director 500 W MAIN ST. LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Frederick Wayne A.i. director 500 W MAIN ST. LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Garratt John W director 100 MISSION RIDGE GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Katz Karen director
Diamond Susan M officer: Segment President, Home Bus. 500 W MAIN ST. LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Shrank William H officer: Chief Medical Officer 500 WEST MAIN ST LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Ventura Joseph C officer: Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec 500 W MAIN STREET LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Agrawal Vishal officer: Chief Strategy Officer 500 W MAIN ST LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Cox Heather officer: Chief Digital & Analytics Off. 804 CARNEGIE CENTER PRINCETON NJ 08540

Humana Headlines

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