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Independence Contract Drilling (Independence Contract Drilling) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $3.01 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Independence Contract Drilling's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.01. The stock price of Independence Contract Drilling is $1.91. Therefore, Independence Contract Drilling's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Independence Contract Drilling's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ICD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 0.81   Max: 0.81
Current: 0.63

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Independence Contract Drilling was 0.81. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 0.81.

ICD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
65.93% of 678 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs ICD: 0.63

Independence Contract Drilling Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Independence Contract Drilling's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Independence Contract Drilling Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -25.28 -4.70 -0.28 -0.37 3.01

Independence Contract Drilling Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.37 -0.51 1.42 3.01 3.01

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Drilling subindustry, Independence Contract Drilling's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Independence Contract Drilling Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Independence Contract Drilling's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Independence Contract Drilling's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Independence Contract Drilling Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Independence Contract Drilling's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-10.80.

Independence Contract Drilling's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-10.80224+181.579*0.8)/14.072
=3.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Independence Contract Drilling  (NYSE:ICD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Independence Contract Drilling's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.91/3.014644483798
=0.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Independence Contract Drilling Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Independence Contract Drilling (Independence Contract Drilling) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
20475 State Highway 249, Suite 300, Houston, TX, USA, 77070
Independence Contract Drilling Inc is engaged in providing land-based contract drilling services for oil and natural gas producers. The company constructs its own and operates a premium land rig fleet. It develops and assembles its ShaleDriller series rig which is used for the development of oil and gas properties. The company's customers for contract drilling services in the United States include oil and natural gas companies, independent oil and natural gas companies, as well as various small to mid-sized publicly traded and privately held oil and gas companies.
Executives
Brian Berman director 20475 STATE HIGHWAY 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070
Msd Capital L P 10 percent owner 1 VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017-5407
Msd Credit Opportunity Master Fund, L.p. director, 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Pcof Partners Lxxiii, Llc director, 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Private Credit Opportunity (non-eci) Fund, Llc director, 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Michael S Dell 10 percent owner C/O DELL INC., ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682-2244
Msd Energy Investments, L.p. 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Partners, L.p. director, 10 percent owner ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
William Monroe 10 percent owner C/O HIGIER ALLEN & LAUTIN, P.C., 2711 N. HASKELL AVE., SUITE 2400, DALLAS TX 75204
James Minmier director 777 N.W. 63RD ST., OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73116
Daniel F Mcnease director 2800 POST OAK BLVD, STE 5450, HOUSTON TX 77056-6127
Barrett Robert J. Iv director 20475 STATE HIGHWAY 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070
Vincent J Cebula director 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 34 TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Christopher Gleysteen director ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Scott A. Keller officer: SVP - SALES AND MARKETING 20475 SH 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070

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