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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $39.34 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-09-27), Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $39.34. The stock price of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is $52.79. Therefore, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:KNX' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99   Med: 3.94   Max: 24
Current: 1.34

0.99
24

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings was 24.00. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 3.94.

NYSE:KNX's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
55% of the 635 Companies
in the Transportation industry.

( Industry Median: 1.10 vs. NYSE:KNX: 1.34 )

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.53 22.67 25.37 27.12 34.16

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.00 31.70 34.16 37.81 39.34

Competitive Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $115.72.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.560228559972*115.72112+6085.261*0.8)/166.585
=39.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings  (NYSE:KNX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=52.79/39.338084199754
=1.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Business Description

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings logo
Industry
Industrials » Transportation NAICS : 484121 SIC : 4213
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20002 North 19th Avenue, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85027
Knight-Swift Transportation is by far the largest asset-based full-truckload carrier in the United States. About 80% of revenue derives from asset-based truckload shipping operations (including for-hire dry van, refrigerated, and dedicated contract). The remainder stems from truck brokerage and other asset-light logistics services (8%), as well as intermodal (8%), which uses the Class-I railroads for the underlying movement of the firm's shipping containers and also offers drayage services.
Executives
Moyes Vickie 10 percent owner SWIFT TRANSPORTATION COMPANY 2200 SOUTH 75TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85043
Moyes Jerry 10 percent owner, other: Member of 10% group SWIFT TRANSPORTATION COMPANY 2200 SOUTH 75TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85043
Moyes Jerry & Vickie Family Trust 10 percent owner SWIFT TRANSPORTATION COMPANY 2200 SOUTH 75TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85043
Garnreiter Michael director 6735 E. GREENWAY PARKWAY UNIT #2049 SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Nester Lyndee Moyes other: Member of 10% owner group PO BOX 1397 TOLLESON AZ 85353
Moyes Michael other: Member of 10% owner group SWIFT TRANSPORTATION COMPANY 2200 SOUTH 75TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85043
Breen Shannon officer: Sr. VP Logistics/Intermodal 2200 SOUTH 75TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85027
Flanagan Cary M officer: SVP and CAO SWIFT TRANSPORTATION COMPANY 2200 SOUTH 75TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85043
Harrington Timothy Sean officer: Exec Vice Pres Sales 2200 NORTH 75TH AVENUE PHOENIX AZ 85027
Knight Gary J director, officer: Vice Chairman PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: KNIGHT GARY J a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Knight Kevin P director, officer: Executive Chairman 5601 WEST BUCKEYE ROAD PHOENIX AZ 85043
Liu Michael K officer: Exec. VP of Ops, Knight Trans 5601 WEST BUCKEYE ROAD PHOENIX AZ 85043
Jackson David A director, officer: President and CEO PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: JACKSON DAVID A a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Yu Wayne officer: CAO of Knight Trans. Inc. 5601 WEST BUCKEYE ROAD PHOENIX AZ 85043
Carlson Todd F. officer: General Counsel and Secretary 5601 WEST BUCKEYE ROAD PHOENIX AZ 85043

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Headlines

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