Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-19), Lithia Motors's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $258.88. The stock price of Lithia Motors is $260.35. Therefore, Lithia Motors's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Lithia Motors's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
LAD'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.69 Med: 1.27 Max: 38.25
Current: 1.01
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lithia Motors was 38.25. The lowest was 0.69. And the median was 1.27.
LAD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 51.86% of 887
companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.05
vs LAD: 1.01
Lithia Motors Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Lithia Motors's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Lithia Motors Annual Data
Trend
Dec14
Dec15
Dec16
Dec17
Dec18
Dec19
Dec20
Dec21
Dec22
Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
113.69
175.23
332.01
298.02
258.88
Lithia Motors Quarterly Data
Mar19
Jun19
Sep19
Dec19
Mar20
Jun20
Sep20
Dec20
Mar21
Jun21
Sep21
Dec21
Mar22
Jun22
Sep22
Dec22
Mar23
Jun23
Sep23
Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
298.02
306.68
278.73
287.37
258.88
Competitive Comparison
For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Lithia Motors's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Lithia Motors Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution
For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lithia Motors's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Lithia Motors's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Lithia Motors's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
260.35
/
258.88407210007
=
1.01
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Lithia Motors Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lithia Motors's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Lithia Motors (Lithia Motors) Business Description
Lithia Motors is a retailer of new and used vehicles and related services. The company offers over 45 brands of vehicles at about 350 stores globally including 28 U.S. states at year-end 2022 and entered Canada in mid-2021 with the purchase of Pfaff Automotive and bought Jardine and soon Pendragon in the U.K. in 2023. The company has expanded largely through the acquisition of dealerships in smaller regional markets but now seeks to grow in any part of the U.S. and we expect more deals over time in the U.S. and abroad. Annual revenue in 2022 was $28.2 billion and we see over $50 billion possible in 2025. In 2022, new-car sales were about 46% of total revenue. Lithia was founded in 1946, went public in 1996, and is now the largest U.S. auto dealer. It is based in Medford, Oregon.
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