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Louisiana-Pacific (Louisiana-Pacific) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $114.76 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), Louisiana-Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $114.76. The stock price of Louisiana-Pacific is $73.59. Therefore, Louisiana-Pacific's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Louisiana-Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LPX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.48   Med: 1.45   Max: 3
Current: 0.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Louisiana-Pacific was 3.00. The lowest was 0.48. And the median was 1.45.

LPX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
66.05% of 1134 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.92 vs LPX: 0.64

Louisiana-Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Louisiana-Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Louisiana-Pacific Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.64 31.28 80.42 122.12 114.76

Louisiana-Pacific Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 122.12 112.75 113.07 114.58 114.76

Competitive Comparison

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Louisiana-Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Louisiana-Pacific Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Louisiana-Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Louisiana-Pacific's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Louisiana-Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Louisiana-Pacific's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $472.11.

Louisiana-Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*472.112+1557*0.8)/72.000
=114.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Louisiana-Pacific  (NYSE:LPX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Louisiana-Pacific's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=73.59/114.75606916271
=0.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Louisiana-Pacific Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Louisiana-Pacific's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Louisiana-Pacific (Louisiana-Pacific) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1610 West End Ave, Suite 200, Nashville, TN, USA, 37203
Louisiana-Pacific is primarily an oriented strand board producer, while offering engineered wood siding used in home construction and repair and remodel projects. The company is largely exposed to the North American housing market but has also established capacity in Brazil and Chile.
Executives
Michael W Blosser officer: SVP, Manufacturing Services 414 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, NASHVILLE TN 37219
Lizanne C Gottung director 1610 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 200, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Derek Nelson Doyle officer: Principal Accounting Officer 1610 WEST END AVENUE, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Alan Haughie officer: EVP, CFO 860 RIDGE LAKE BLVD., MEMPHIS TN 38120
Jimmy Earl Mason officer: EVP & General Manager of OSB 414 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, NASHVILLE TN 37219-1711
Jose A Bayardo director 11700 OLD KATY ROAD SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77079
Robin H Everhart officer: SVP, CHRO 414 UNION STREET, SUITE 2000, NASHVILLE TN 37219
Nicole C Daniel officer: SVP, General Counsel 414 UNION STREET, NASHVILLE TN 37219
William Bradley Southern officer: Senior Vice President 1610 WEST END AVENUE, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Stephen E. Macadam director C/O ENPRO INDUSTRIES, INC., 5605 CARNEGIE BLVD., STE. 500, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Michael Sims officer: SVP Sales and Marketing 414 UNION STREET, NASHVILLE TN 37219
Neil Sherman officer: SVP EWP 414 UNION STREET, NASHVILLE TN 37129
Jason Paul Ringbloom officer: EVP OSB 414 UNION STREET, NASHVILLE TN 37219
Kurt M Landgraf director ONE RIVERFRONT PLAZA, CORNING NY 14831
Gary Cook director C/O TRIMERIS, INC., 3500 PARAMOUNT PARKWAY, MORRISVILLE NC 27560