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Moody's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $99.34 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-10-23), Moody's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $99.34. The stock price of Moody's is $381.66. Therefore, Moody's's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moody's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:MCO' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 1.89   Max: 4.83
Current: 3.84

0.63
4.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Moody's was 4.83. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 1.89.

NYSE:MCO's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
77% of the 44 Companies
in the Capital Markets industry.

( Industry Median: 1.13 vs. NYSE:MCO: 3.84 )

Moody's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Moody's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Moody's Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 51.59 55.27 64.23 70.69 86.29

Moody's Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 78.56 83.11 86.29 93.90 99.34

Competitive Comparison

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, Moody's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Moody's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Moody's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moody's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Moody's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Moody's's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,427.09.

Moody's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.854592825659*1427.088+2186*0.8)/187.900
=99.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Moody's  (NYSE:MCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Moody's's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=381.66/99.341922120194
=3.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Moody's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Moody's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Moody's Business Description

Moody's logo
Industry
Financial Services » Capital Markets NAICS : 523210 SIC : 7323
Address
7 World Trade Center at 250 Greenwich Street, New York, NY, USA, 10007
Moody's (along with S&P Ratings) is a leading provider of credit ratings on fixed income securities. Moody's ratings segment, known as Moody's Investors Service or MIS, includes corporates, structured finance, financial institutions, and public finance ratings. MIS represents a majority of the firm's revenue and profits. Moody's other segment is Moody's Analytics and consists of Research, Data, and Analytics or RD&A and Enterprise Risk Solutions or ERS. RD&A's products include credit research, quantitative credit scores, economic research, business intelligence, know your customer (KYC) tools, commercial real estate data and analytical tools, and training services. ERS includes risk management software solutions to financial institutions.
Executives
Bermudez Jorge A. director CORPORATE LAW DEPT., CITIGROUP INC. 425 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10043
Esperdy Therese director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH ST NEW YORK NY 10007
Mckinnell Henry A director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Seidman Leslie director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Van Saun Bruce director CITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 600 WASHINGTON BLVD STAMFORD CT 06901
Forlenza Vincent A director C/O BECTON DICKERSON & CO 1 BECTON DR FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Anderson Basil director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ANDERSON BASIL a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Mcdaniel Raymond W director, officer: President and CEO 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Goggins John J officer: EVP and General Counsel 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Kaye Mark officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH ST NEW YORK NY 10007
Fauber Robert officer: Chief Operating Officer 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Sullivan Caroline officer: SVP-Corporate Controller 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Hughes Melanie officer: SVP & Chief HR Officer 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Hill Kathryn director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER 250 GREENWICH STREET NEW YORK NY 10007
Zalm Gerrit director 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH ST NEW YORK NY 10007

Moody's Headlines

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