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MDU Resources Group (MDU Resources Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $11.54 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), MDU Resources Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.54. The stock price of MDU Resources Group is $24.58. Therefore, MDU Resources Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for MDU Resources Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MDU' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.82   Med: 1.2   Max: 2.13
Current: 2.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of MDU Resources Group was 2.13. The lowest was 0.82. And the median was 1.20.

MDU's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
78.22% of 404 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 0.855 vs MDU: 2.13

MDU Resources Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for MDU Resources Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MDU Resources Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.69 17.11 16.41 16.77 11.54

MDU Resources Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.77 14.47 11.25 11.31 11.54

Competitive Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, MDU Resources Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MDU Resources Group Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, MDU Resources Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MDU Resources Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



MDU Resources Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get MDU Resources Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3.23.

MDU Resources Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*3.2264+2905.233*0.8)/204.079
=11.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MDU Resources Group  (NYSE:MDU) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

MDU Resources Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=24.58/11.539172881037
=2.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MDU Resources Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MDU Resources Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MDU Resources Group (MDU Resources Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1200 West Century Avenue, P.O. Box 5650, Bismarck, ND, USA, 58506-5650
MDU Resources Group Inc operates in five business segments, which includes: Electric segment, which generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming; The natural gas distribution segment distributes natural gas in those states, as well as in Idaho, Minnesota, Oregon and Washington; The pipeline segment provides natural gas transportation and underground storage services through a regulated pipeline system primarily in the Rocky Mountain and northern Great Plains regions of the United States; The construction materials and contracting segment mines, processes and sells construction aggregates (crushed stone, sand, and gravel); produces and sells asphalt mix, and supplies ready-mixed concrete; and The construction services segment.
Executives
Rob L. Johnson officer: President-WBI Holdings 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
Paul R. Sanderson officer: VP, CLO & Secretary 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
James H. Gemmel director C/O CORVEX MANAGEMENT LP, 667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10065
Brian R. Gray officer: President & CEO-Knife River 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
German Carmona-alvarez director 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
Thomas S Everist director
Nicole A Kivisto officer: Controller P. O. BOX 5650, BISMARCK ND 58506-5650
Dale Rosenthal director 101 CONSTITUTION AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20080
Karl A Liepitz officer: VP, Gen Counsel & Secretary 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
Jason L Vollmer officer: Treasurer & Director of Cash 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
David M Sparby director 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
Margaret A Link officer: Chief Information Officer 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
Dennis W Johnson director TMI BUSINESS DESIGHNS CORP, 50 3 AVENUE WAY, DICKINSON ND 58601
David C Barney officer: President & CEO - Knife River 1150 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503
Stephanie A Barth officer: VP, CAO & Controller 1200 WEST CENTURY AVENUE, BISMARCK ND 58503