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Meritage Homes (Meritage Homes) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $206.74 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Meritage Homes Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Meritage Homes's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $206.74. The stock price of Meritage Homes is $154.69. Therefore, Meritage Homes's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Meritage Homes's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MTH' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.57   Med: 1.13   Max: 5.9
Current: 0.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Meritage Homes was 5.90. The lowest was 0.57. And the median was 1.13.

MTH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
51.25% of 80 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs MTH: 0.75

Meritage Homes Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Meritage Homes's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Meritage Homes Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Meritage Homes Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.28 100.20 107.98 162.38 206.74

Meritage Homes Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 162.38 169.17 192.39 206.02 206.74

Competitive Comparison of Meritage Homes's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Meritage Homes's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Meritage Homes's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Meritage Homes's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Meritage Homes's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Meritage Homes Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Meritage Homes's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $265.73.

Meritage Homes's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*265.72912+4611.9*0.8)/36.949
=206.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Meritage Homes  (NYSE:MTH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Meritage Homes's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=154.69/206.74334312317
=0.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Meritage Homes Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Meritage Homes's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Meritage Homes (Meritage Homes) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8800 East Raintree Drive, Suite 300, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85260
Meritage Homes Corp is engaged as a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. It has operations in three regions: West, Central, and East, which are comprised of ten states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Utah. The company operates with two principal business segments; homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segments are engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes and providing warranty and customer services and the financial services segment offer title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. The company generates key revenue from the homebuilding segment.
Executives
Phillippe Lord officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT 8800 EAST RAINTREE DRIVE, SUITE 300, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Peter L Ax director
Alison Sasser officer: SVP - Chief Accounting Officer 8800 E RAINTREE DRIVE, SUITE 300, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Hilla Sferruzza officer: Chief Accounting Officer 8800 EAST RAINTREE DRIVE, SUITE 300, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Javier Feliciano officer: EVP Chief Human Resources Off 8800 EAST RAINTREE DRIVE, SUITE 300, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Dennis V Arriola director 162 CANCO ROAD, PORTLAND ME 04103
R. Odell Michael director 3111 WEST ALLEGHENY AVENUE, PHILADELPHIA PA 19130
Gerald W Haddock director C/O ENSCO, 5847 SAN FELIPE, HOUSTON TX 77057
Raymond Oppel director
Steven J Hilton officer: Chief Executive Officer 6613 N SCOTTSDALE RD, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85250
Clinton Szubinski officer: EVP - Chief Operating Officer 8800 E RAINTREE DRIVE, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Malissia Clinton officer: EVP - Gen. Counsel, Secretary 333 THREE D SYSTEMS CIRCLE, ROCK HILL SC 29730
Louis E Caldera director C/O BELO CORP, PO BOX 655237, DALLAS TX 75265-5237
C Timothy White officer: EVP - Gen. Counsel, Secretary
Dana Bradford director BALLANTYNE OF OMAHA INC, 4350 MCKINLEY STREET, OMAHA NE 68112