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NVR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $4,134.39 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-14), NVR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4,134.39. The stock price of NVR is $4454.72. Therefore, NVR's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for NVR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NVR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.35   Med: 1.18   Max: 2.76
Current: 1.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of NVR was 2.76. The lowest was 0.35. And the median was 1.18.

NVR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
78.38% of 74 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs NVR: 1.08

NVR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for NVR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NVR Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,269.20 1,762.92 2,272.62 2,898.77 3,682.57

NVR Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3,096.28 3,478.46 3,682.57 3,788.10 4,134.39

Competitive Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, NVR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

NVR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, NVR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NVR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



NVR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NVR's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $813.69.

NVR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*813.68768+2991.666*0.8)/3.504
=4,134.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NVR  (NYSE:NVR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NVR's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4454.72/4134.3866126842
=1.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NVR Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NVR's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NVR Business Description

NVR logo
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11700 Plaza America Drive, Suite 500, Reston, VA, USA, 20190
NVR Inc is a United States-based homebuilding company operating in over 33 metropolitan areas across the east of the Mississippi River. The company builds single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under three brands, Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes. NVR's avoidance of direct land development activity is unique among public homebuilders and results in relatively outsize return metrics. The Virginia-based company also manages a mortgage banking segment and building products operations.
Executives
Bailey Sallie B director FERRO CORPORATION 1000 LAKESIDE AVENUE CLEVELAND OH 44124-1147
Praylo Paul W officer: SVP, Chief Operating Officer 11700 PLAZA AMERICA DR SUITE 500 RESTON VA 20190
Jung Alexandra A director 11700 PLAZA AMERICA DR SUITE 500 RESTON VA 20190
Ross Susan Williamson director 11700 PLAZA AMERICA DR, SUITE 500 RESTON VA 20190
Kelpy Matthew B. officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 11700 PLAZA AMERICA DRIVE SUITE 500 RESTON VA 20190
Martchek Jeffrey D officer: President of Homebuilding Ops 11700 PLAZA AMERICA DRIVE SUITE 500 RESTON VA 20190
Grier Eddie Arthur director 11700 PLAZA AMERICA DRIVE, SUITE 500 RESTON VA 20190
Malzahn Daniel David officer: Chief Financial Officer 11700 PLAZA AMERICA DRIVE, SUITE 500 RESTON VA 20190
Martinez Melquiades R. director 450 SOUTH ORANGE AVENUE SUITE 250 ORLANDO FL 32801-3443
Bredow Eugene James officer: Controller 11700 PLAZA AMERICA DRIVE SUITE 500 RESTON VA 20190
Eckert Thomas D director 1997 ANNAPOLIS EXCHANGE PARKWAY SUITE 410 ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Goethe Robert A officer: President, NVRM, Inc. PO BOX 669 MONTGOMERY AL 36104
Festa Alfred E director
Rosier William Grady director 1111 MILLCREEK DRIVE SALADO TX 76571
Andrews Charles Elliott director C/O H&R BLOCK ONE H&R BLOCK WAY KANSAS CITY MO 64105

NVR Headlines

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