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PHX Minerals (PHX Minerals) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $1.97 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), PHX Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.97. The stock price of PHX Minerals is $3.23. Therefore, PHX Minerals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for PHX Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PHX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.21   Med: 1.64   Max: 2.75
Current: 1.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PHX Minerals was 2.75. The lowest was 0.21. And the median was 1.64.

PHX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
77.97% of 681 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.88 vs PHX: 1.64

PHX Minerals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for PHX Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PHX Minerals Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.74 6.93 2.86 1.91 1.97

PHX Minerals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.70 1.82 1.94 1.89 1.97

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, PHX Minerals's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PHX Minerals Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, PHX Minerals's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PHX Minerals's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



PHX Minerals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PHX Minerals's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-2.89.

PHX Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-2.88624+123.231*0.8)/36.037
=1.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PHX Minerals  (NYSE:PHX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PHX Minerals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.23/1.9731603743281
=1.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PHX Minerals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PHX Minerals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PHX Minerals (PHX Minerals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1320 South University Drive, Suite 720, Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76107
PHX Minerals, previously Panhandle Oil & Gas, is an oil and natural gas mineral company that has employed a strategy to shift the core of its business away from drilling and toward perpetual mineral and natural gas ownership. The company owns substantial mineral acreage, principally in Oklahoma, North Dakota, Texas, New Mexico, and Arkansas, but still maintains legacy interests in natural gas and oil properties that have retired operations. The sale of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil continues to be the primary source of the company's revenue.
Executives
Edenbrook Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 116 RADIO CIRCLE, SUITE 202, MT. KISCO NY 10549
Chad True officer: Principal Accounting Officer 2113 NW 59TH PLACE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73112
Raphael D'amico officer: VP - Business Development 5400 NORTH GRAND BOULEVARD, SUITE 300, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73112
Chad L Stephens director 100 THROCKMORTON, SUITE 1200, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Srp Capital Advisors, Llc 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD., SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Steven L Packebush director 3503 NW 63RD STREET, SUITE 500, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73116-2238
Peter B Delaney director P.O. BOX 321, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73101
Christopher T. Fraser director 9555 WEST SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY SOUTH, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77099
Glen A Brown director P.O. BOX 268836, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73126
William T Fennebresque 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Srpo-ii Manager, Lp 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Cwep-srpoii Investments, Llc other: See Explanation of Responses 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Palmetto Investment Partners, Llc other: See Explanation of Responses 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Palmetto Investment Partners Ii, Llc 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219
Ryan A Turner 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75219