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Packaging of America (Packaging of America) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $111.93 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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Packaging of America Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Packaging of America's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $111.93. The stock price of Packaging of America is $173.92. Therefore, Packaging of America's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Packaging of America's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PKG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.86   Med: 1.35   Max: 1.76
Current: 1.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Packaging of America was 1.76. The lowest was 0.86. And the median was 1.35.

PKG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
69.79% of 288 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 0.935 vs PKG: 1.55

Packaging of America Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Packaging of America's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Packaging of America Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Packaging of America Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 90.21 87.40 94.93 103.74 111.93

Packaging of America Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 103.74 106.07 108.62 109.95 111.93

Competitive Comparison of Packaging of America's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Packaging of America's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Packaging of America Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Packaging of America's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Packaging of America's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Packaging of America Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Packaging of America's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $673.50.

Packaging of America's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.125989035996*673.504+3997.3*0.8)/89.500
=111.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Packaging of America  (NYSE:PKG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Packaging of America's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=173.92/111.92999016424
=1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Packaging of America Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Packaging of America's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Packaging of America (Packaging of America) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 North Field Court, Lake Forest, IL, USA, 60045
Packaging Corp of America is the third-largest containerboard and corrugated packaging manufacturer in the United States. It produces over 4 million tons of containerboard annually. The company's share of the domestic containerboard market is roughly 10%. The firm differentiates itself from larger competitors by focusing on smaller customers and operating with a high degree of flexibility.
Executives
Paul T Stecko director, officer: Chairman/Chief Exec. Officer
Kent A. Pflederer officer: VP, Gen. Counsel & Sec. PACKAGING CORPORATION OF AMERICA, 1955 W. FIELD CT., LAKE FOREST IL 60645
Donald R. Shirley officer: SVP 1 N. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Bruce A Ridley officer: SVP 1 N. FIELD CT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Robert Andrew Schneider officer: SVP & CIO 1 N. FIELD CT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Thomas A Hassfurther officer: Senior VP-Sales & Marketing C/O PACKAGING CORPORATION OF AMERICA, 1900 WEST FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Charles J. Carter officer: VP-Containerboard 1900 W. FIELD CT., LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Robert P. Mundy officer: SVP 6775 LENOX CENTER COURT, SUITE 400, MEMPHIS TN 38115
Donna A. Harman director PACKAGING CORPORATION OF AMERICA, 1 N. FIELD CT., LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Darla J. Olivier officer: SVP 1 N. FIELD CT., LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Walton Thomas W.h. officer: SVP C/O PACKAGING CORPORATION OF AMERICA, 1900 W. FIELD CT., LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Jeffrey S Kaser officer: SVP 1 N FIELD CT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Robert C Lyons director 500 WEST MONROE ST, CHICAGO IL 60661
Pamela A. Barnes officer: SVP 1 N. FIELD CT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Samuel M Mencoff director, 10 percent owner BUCKEYE TECHNOLOGIES INC, 1001 TILLMAN STREET, MEMPHIS TN 38112

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