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Royal Caribbean Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $-13.99 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-11-28), Royal Caribbean Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-13.99. The stock price of Royal Caribbean Group is $67.98. Therefore, Royal Caribbean Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Royal Caribbean Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Royal Caribbean Group was 115.16. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 2.42.


Royal Caribbean Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Royal Caribbean Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Royal Caribbean Group Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.79 63.72 59.72 80.44 7.54

Royal Caribbean Group Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.53 7.54 2.67 -6.33 -13.99

Competitive Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Royal Caribbean Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Royal Caribbean Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Royal Caribbean Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Royal Caribbean Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Royal Caribbean Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Royal Caribbean Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-917.75.

Royal Caribbean Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-917.75328+6467.498*0.8)/254.713
=-13.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Royal Caribbean Group  (NYSE:RCL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Royal Caribbean Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=67.98/-13.989609890151
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Royal Caribbean Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Royal Caribbean Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Royal Caribbean Group Business Description

Royal Caribbean Group logo
Industry
Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure NAICS : 483111 SIC : 4489
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1050 Caribbean Way, Miami, FL, USA, 33132
Royal Caribbean is the world's second- largest cruise company, operating more than 60 ships across five global and partner brands in the cruise vacation industry. Brands the company operates include Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea. The company also has a 50% investment in a joint venture that operates TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, allowing it to compete on the basis of innovation, quality of ships and service, variety of itineraries, choice of destinations, and price. The company is completed the divestiture of its Azamara brand in the first quarter of 2021.
Executives
Kulovaara Harri U officer: EVP, Maritime ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISE LINES 6100 BLUE LAGOON DRIVE, SUITE 200 MIAMI FL 33126
Pujol Henry L officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD. 1050 CARIBBEAN WAY MIAMI FL 33132
Bayley Michael W officer: Pres& CEO,Royal Caribbean Intl ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD. 1050 CARIBBEAN WAY MIAMI FL 33132
Stein Bradley H officer: SVP, GC & ChiefComplianceOff 1050 CARIBBEAN WAY MIAMI FL 33132
Lutoff-perlo Lisa officer: Pres & CEO, Celebrity Cruises 1050 CARIBBEAN WAY MIAMI FL 33132
Liberty Jason T officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 1050 CARIBBEAN WAY MIAMI FL 33132
A Wilhelmsen A S 10 percent owner BEDDINGEN 8 AKER BRYGGE 1250 OSLO PO BOX 1583 VIKA N 0118 OSLO NORWAY Q8 00000
Wilhelmsen Arne Alexander director ANDERS WILHELMSEN & CO. AS BEDDINGEN 8, AKER BRYGGE OSLO Q8 NO-0118
Montiel Maritza Gomez director 475 W. TERRA COTTA AVE., SUITE E CRYSTAL LAKE IL 60014
Howe Stephen R. Jr. director C/O ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD. 1050 CARIBBEAN WAY MIAMI FL 33132
Sorensen Vagn O director ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD. 1050 CARIBBEAN WAY MIAMI FL 33132
Pritzker Thomas director PRITZKER & PRITZKER 200 W. MADISON STREET, 38TH FLOOR CHICAGO IL 60606
Ofer Eyal director CARLYLE M.G. LIMITED 18 UPPER BROOK STREET LONDON X0 W1Y 1PD
Moore Ann S director C/O AVON PRODUCS INC 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10105-0196
Brock John director 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY ATLANTA GA 30339

Royal Caribbean Group Headlines

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