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Stag Industrial (Stag Industrial) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $25.07 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Stag Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $25.07. The stock price of Stag Industrial is $35.41. Therefore, Stag Industrial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Stag Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

STAG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.41   Med: 1.96   Max: 2.65
Current: 1.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Stag Industrial was 2.65. The lowest was 1.41. And the median was 1.96.

STAG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
86.16% of 549 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs STAG: 1.41

Stag Industrial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Stag Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Stag Industrial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.89 19.00 20.45 22.50 25.07

Stag Industrial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.50 23.10 23.90 24.84 25.07

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, Stag Industrial's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Stag Industrial Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Stag Industrial's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stag Industrial's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Stag Industrial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Stag Industrial's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $195.63.

Stag Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*195.63424+3374.68*0.8)/182.010
=25.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Stag Industrial  (NYSE:STAG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Stag Industrial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.41/25.065934558592
=1.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Stag Industrial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Stag Industrial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Stag Industrial (Stag Industrial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Federal Street, 23rd Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02110
Stag Industrial Inc is a real estate investment trust that is involved in the acquisition and operation of both single- and multi-tenant properties, although the majority of the portfolio is single-tenant industrial properties throughout the United States. The vast majority of the company's real estate portfolio is comprised of warehouse and distribution buildings. Stag Industrial derives nearly all of its income in the form of rental income from its portfolio of warehouse and distribution properties. The company generates most of its rental revenue from its facilities located in Midwestern and Eastern U.S. cities. Stag Industrial's largest customers include air freight and logistics, automotive, and industrial equipment companies in terms of overall revenue.
Executives
Jaclyn Paul officer: Chief Accounting Officer ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jeffrey M Sullivan officer: EVP, GC and Secretary ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
William R Crooker officer: Chief Accounting Officer ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Benjamin S Butcher director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Steven T. Kimball officer: EVP ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Michael Chase officer: EVP and CIO ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Hans S Weger director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Michelle Dilley director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jit Kee Chin director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jacoby Francis X Iii director ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Jeffrey D. Furber director AEW CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., TWO SEAPORT LANE, BOSTON MA 02210
Virgis Colbert director 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Christopher P Marr director 460 E. SWEDESFORD ROAD, SUITE 3000, WAYNE PA 19087
Matts Pinard officer: EVP, CFO and Treasurer ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Stephen C Mecke officer: COO and EVP ONE FEDERAL STREET, 23RD FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110