Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2023-05-28), O'Reilly Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $403.90. The stock price of O'Reilly Automotive is $923.00. Therefore, O'Reilly Automotive's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.
The historical rank and industry rank for O'Reilly Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ORLY'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.44 Med: 2.13 Max: 68.86
Current: 2.29
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of O'Reilly Automotive was 68.86. The lowest was 1.44. And the median was 2.13.
ORLY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 82.72% of 712
companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.77
vs ORLY: 2.29
O'Reilly Automotive Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for O'Reilly Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
O'Reilly Automotive Annual Data
Trend
Dec13
Dec14
Dec15
Dec16
Dec17
Dec18
Dec19
Dec20
Dec21
Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
166.81
192.54
252.28
334.06
398.43
O'Reilly Automotive Quarterly Data
Jun18
Sep18
Dec18
Mar19
Jun19
Sep19
Dec19
Mar20
Jun20
Sep20
Dec20
Mar21
Jun21
Sep21
Dec21
Mar22
Jun22
Sep22
Dec22
Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
347.72
347.30
377.35
398.43
403.90
Competitive Comparison
For the Specialty Retail subindustry, O'Reilly Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
O'Reilly Automotive Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, O'Reilly Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where O'Reilly Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
O'Reilly Automotive's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
923.00
/
403.90199317632
=
2.29
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
O'Reilly Automotive Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of O'Reilly Automotive's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
O'Reilly Automotive (NAS:ORLY) Business Description
O'Reilly Automotive is one of the largest sellers of aftermarket automotive parts, tools, and accessories, serving professional and DIY customers (41% and 59% of 2021 sales, respectively). The company sells branded as well as own-label products, with the latter category comprising nearly half of sales. O'Reilly had 5,784 stores as of the end of 2021, spread across 47 U.S. states and including 25 stores in Mexico. The firm serves professional and DIY customers through its stores and also boasts approximately 750 sales personnel targeting commercial buyers.
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