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Ajinomoto Co (Ajinomoto Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $17.41 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Ajinomoto Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.41. The stock price of Ajinomoto Co is $35.34. Therefore, Ajinomoto Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ajinomoto Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AJINY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.06   Med: 1.44   Max: 2.46
Current: 2.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ajinomoto Co was 2.46. The lowest was 1.06. And the median was 1.44.

AJINY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
74% of 1223 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.11 vs AJINY: 2.03

Ajinomoto Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ajinomoto Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ajinomoto Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.05 15.52 16.34 15.77 18.15

Ajinomoto Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.24 18.15 16.15 16.77 19.14

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Ajinomoto Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ajinomoto Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ajinomoto Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ajinomoto Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ajinomoto Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ajinomoto Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $496.29.

Ajinomoto Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.056836766857*496.28992+5597.518*0.8)/519.581
=18.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ajinomoto Co  (OTCPK:AJINY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ajinomoto Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.34/18.224533065059
=1.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ajinomoto Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Ajinomoto Co (Ajinomoto Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15-1, Kyobashi 1-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-8315
Ajinomoto is Japan's leading food company specializing in amino acids and seasonings derived from amino acid fermentation technologies. It also produces processed foods including dry soup mixes, frozen foods, and beverage products. Apart from the consumer business, it is a key supplier of MSG and nucleotides to global food manufacturers including Nestle. The food business represents nearly three fourths of group sales and 80%-plus of profits with nearly two thirds generated overseas. Healthcare and function materials (mainly Ajinomoto build-up film, or ABF), the key growth drivers through 2030, make up the balance of its business portfolio. The nonfood businesses are expected to contribute half of the group profits by 2030, boosted by ABF and CDMO growth.