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Crimson Wine Group (Crimson Wine Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $8.78 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Crimson Wine Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.78. The stock price of Crimson Wine Group is $5.90. Therefore, Crimson Wine Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Crimson Wine Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CWGL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.66   Med: 1.05   Max: 1.56
Current: 0.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Crimson Wine Group was 1.56. The lowest was 0.66. And the median was 1.05.

CWGL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.27% of 154 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.305 vs CWGL: 0.67

Crimson Wine Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Crimson Wine Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Crimson Wine Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.23 6.47 7.82 7.84 8.78

Crimson Wine Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.84 7.97 8.48 8.34 8.78

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Crimson Wine Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Crimson Wine Group Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Crimson Wine Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Crimson Wine Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Crimson Wine Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Crimson Wine Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3.65.

Crimson Wine Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*3.64864+188.158*0.8)/21.103
=8.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Crimson Wine Group  (OTCPK:CWGL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Crimson Wine Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.90/8.7789762425769
=0.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Crimson Wine Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Crimson Wine Group (Crimson Wine Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5901 Silverado Trail, Napa, CA, USA, 94558
Crimson Wine Group Ltd is engaged in the business of producing and selling luxury wines. Its operating segments are Wholesale net sales and Direct to Consumer net sales. It generates revenues from sales of wine to wholesalers and directs to consumers, sales of bulk wine and grapes, custom winemaking services, special event fees, tasting fees, and retail sales. The company's wineries include wine brands of Pine Ridge Vineyards, Archery Summit, Chamisal Vineyards, Seghesio Family Vineyards, Double Canyon, Seven Hills Winery, and Malene Wines.
Executives
Annette D. Alvarez-peters director C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP, 5901 SILVERADO TRAIL, NAPA CA 94558
Luanne Dupere Tierney director C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP LTD., 2700 NAPA VALLEY CORPORATE DR., SUITE B, NAPA CA 94558
Kimberly A. Benson officer: Interim CFO C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP, LTD., 5901 SILVERADO TRAIL, NAPA CA 94558
John D. Cumming director C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP, LTD., 5901 SILVERADO TRAIL, NAPA CA 94558
Joseph S Steinberg director C/O LEUCADIA NATIONAL CORP, 315 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, NEW YORK NY 10010
Rollins Colby A. director 2700 NAPA VALLEY CORPORATE DR., STE. B, C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP LTD., NAPA CA 94558
Jennifer L. Locke officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP, LTD., 2700 NAPA VALLEY CORPORATE DR., SUITE B, NAPA CA 94558
Teton Holdings Corp Ccs 10 percent owner P. O. BOX 4902, JACKSON WY 83001
David Cumming 10 percent owner 1794 OLYMPIC PARKWAY, SUITE 201, PARK CITY UT 84098
Quille Nicolas Michel Eric officer: COO 2700 NAPA VALLEY CORPORATE DR., STE. B, C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP LTD., NAPA CA 94558
Craig Williams director C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP, LTD, 5901 SILVERADO TRAIL, NAPA CA 94558
Ian M. Cumming Charitable Lead Annuity Trust 10 percent owner P. O. BOX 4902, JACKSON WY 83001
Patrick M Delong officer: Chief Fin. & Oper. Officer 1222 ARROYO SARCO, NAPA CA 94558
Mike S. Cekay officer: SVP of Global Sales C/O CRIMSON WINE GROUP, LTD, 5901 SIVERADO TRAIL, NAPA CA 94558
Karen L. Diepholz officer: CFO 2700 NAPA VALLEY CORPORATE DR., STE. B, NAPA CA 94558