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Geely Automobile Holdings (Geely Automobile Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $29.67 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-17), Geely Automobile Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $29.67. The stock price of Geely Automobile Holdings is $22.71. Therefore, Geely Automobile Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Geely Automobile Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GELYY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.72   Med: 1.27   Max: 3.43
Current: 0.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Geely Automobile Holdings was 3.43. The lowest was 0.72. And the median was 1.27.

GELYY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
63.8% of 884 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.065 vs GELYY: 0.77

Geely Automobile Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Geely Automobile Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Geely Automobile Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.04 28.32 35.18 30.82 30.39

Geely Automobile Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.18 - 30.82 - 30.39

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Geely Automobile Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Geely Automobile Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Geely Automobile Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Geely Automobile Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Geely Automobile Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Geely Automobile Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $673.57.

Geely Automobile Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*673.56514285714+11275.43*0.8)/506.500
=30.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Geely Automobile Holdings  (OTCPK:GELYY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Geely Automobile Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=22.71/30.469735405304
=0.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Geely Automobile Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Geely Automobile Holdings (Geely Automobile Holdings) Business Description

Address
23 Harbour Road, Room 2301, 23rd Floor, Great Eagle Centre, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
Based in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, Geely Automobile Holdings manufactures and sells passenger vehicles and automotive parts. Geely is the largest local brand manufacturer and the third largest passenger vehicle brand in terms of sales volume in China. The firm formed a joint venture with Volvo in 2016 to build cars under the Lynk & Co brand. The new brand targets a young audience with sales and marketing approaches closely resembling those of modern lifestyle brands. Including Lynk & Co, Geely sold about 1.4 million cars in 2022. The domestic market accounts for more than 90% of Geely's revenue, with the rest coming from other parts of the world.

Geely Automobile Holdings (Geely Automobile Holdings) Headlines