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Kirin Holdings Co (Kirin Holdings Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $13.64 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Kirin Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.64. The stock price of Kirin Holdings Co is $14.79. Therefore, Kirin Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kirin Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

KNBWY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.98   Med: 1.77   Max: 3.3
Current: 1.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kirin Holdings Co was 3.30. The lowest was 0.98. And the median was 1.77.

KNBWY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
56.49% of 154 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.26 vs KNBWY: 1.08

Kirin Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kirin Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kirin Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.64 12.59 13.84 13.49 14.88

Kirin Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.49 13.52 12.90 13.38 14.88

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Kirin Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kirin Holdings Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kirin Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kirin Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Kirin Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kirin Holdings Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $724.60.

Kirin Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*724.6048+7866.156*0.8)/810.042
=16.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kirin Holdings Co  (OTCPK:KNBWY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kirin Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=14.79/16.284855926142
=0.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kirin Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Kirin Holdings Co (Kirin Holdings Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Nakano Central Park South, 10-2, Nakano 4-chome, Nakano-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 164-0001
Kirin is the second largest brewer by value in Japan, with an estimated 35.7% volume share in beer and beer-like category as of 2022. It holds a top share in happoshu (low-malt beer) and new genre (no-malt beer) categories. Apart from beer, it also operates a wide range of acholic and soft beverage products in Japan. It made several acquisitions including Lion Nathan and National Foods in Oceania, the Brazilian brewer Schincariol, and Myanmar Brewery, but has divested most of the acquired businesses except Lion. It has shifted focus back to the domestic brewery after a painful exit from Brazil in 2017 and identified craft beer and wellness as new growth drivers. Overseas business represents about 40% of group's sales. It also owns a 48.6% stake in the largest Filipino brewer San Miguel.

Kirin Holdings Co (Kirin Holdings Co) Headlines

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By GuruFocus Research 12-29-2023