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Zozo (SATLF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $9.71 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Zozo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Zozo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.71. The stock price of Zozo is $22.185. Therefore, Zozo's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zozo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SATLF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.98   Med: 3.58   Max: 5.17
Current: 2.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Zozo was 5.17. The lowest was 1.98. And the median was 3.58.

SATLF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.44% of 721 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.8 vs SATLF: 2.28

Zozo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zozo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zozo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Zozo Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.19 6.00 9.34 10.28 11.19

Zozo Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 11.19 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Zozo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Zozo's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zozo's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Zozo's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zozo's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Zozo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Zozo's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $212.97.

Zozo's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*212.971+572.883*0.8)/299.838
=12.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Zozo  (OTCPK:SATLF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Zozo's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=22.185/12.085261168315
=1.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Zozo Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Zozo (SATLF) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
WBG Maribu West 15th-16th Floor, Nakase 2-6-1, Mihama-ku, Chiba-shi, Chiba, JPN, 261-7116
Zozo was established in 1998 by Yusaku Maezawa (founder and former CEO), and its main business is Zozotown, the largest fashion e-commerce platform in Japan. Zozotown's business consists mainly of consignment sales, where each brand's products are stocked in Zozotown's logistics bases, and brands open their shops on Zozotown as tenants. As of 2022, Zozotown sold clothing from over 8,500 brands and boasted about 9.3 million annual active users. In 2019, Zozo was acquired by Z Holdings. Since then, Zozo also sells through the Yahoo-owned general e-commerce site PayPay Mall.

Zozo (SATLF) Headlines

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