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Shiseido Co (Shiseido Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $9.33 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Shiseido Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $9.33. The stock price of Shiseido Co is $27.49. Therefore, Shiseido Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shiseido Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SSDOY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.65   Med: 5.13   Max: 7.82
Current: 2.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Shiseido Co was 7.82. The lowest was 1.65. And the median was 5.13.

SSDOY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
82.68% of 1224 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.125 vs SSDOY: 2.95

Shiseido Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shiseido Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shiseido Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.07 9.15 10.72 9.68 10.17

Shiseido Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.68 9.18 9.67 9.47 10.17

Competitive Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Shiseido Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shiseido Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Shiseido Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shiseido Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Shiseido Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Shiseido Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $60.51.

Shiseido Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*60.50544+4297.413*0.8)/399.863
=10.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shiseido Co  (OTCPK:SSDOY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Shiseido Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=27.49/10.038346789447
=2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shiseido Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Shiseido Co (Shiseido Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5-5 Ginza 7-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0061
Shiseido is a leading Japanese cosmetics manufacturer. Founded in 1872, the first Western-style pharmacy in Ginza, Tokyo, it is one of the oldest cosmetics companies globally. Shiseido's suite of 31 brands, including its namesake brand and luxury Clé de Peau Beauté, has an 9.3% share of Japan's beauty and personal care market and 18.3% share of Japan's premium segment according to Euromonitor. It is also ranked No. 3 after Estée Lauder and L'Oréal, with 7.6% market share in the global premium skincare space, thanks to a strong presence in China. China, Japan, and western markets each account for about 25% of sales, followed by 15% of travel retail, and 6% in Asia. Its distribution channels include department stores, drugstores, specialty retailers, travel retailers, and e-commerce.

Shiseido Co (Shiseido Co) Headlines

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