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Provident Financial Services (Provident Financial Services) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $36.29 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Provident Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $36.29. The stock price of Provident Financial Services is $14.46. Therefore, Provident Financial Services's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Provident Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PFS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38   Med: 0.7   Max: 0.93
Current: 0.4

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Provident Financial Services was 0.93. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 0.70.

PFS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
59.08% of 1222 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.43 vs PFS: 0.40

Provident Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Provident Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Provident Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.07 31.48 33.44 35.23 36.29

Provident Financial Services Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.23 36.02 35.75 35.73 36.29

Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Provident Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Provident Financial Services Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Provident Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Provident Financial Services's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Provident Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Provident Financial Services's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $144.01.

Provident Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*144.00816+1690.596*0.8)/75.043
=36.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Provident Financial Services  (NYSE:PFS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Provident Financial Services's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=14.46/36.292327277534
=0.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Provident Financial Services Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Provident Financial Services's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Provident Financial Services (Provident Financial Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
239 Washington Street, Jersey, NJ, USA, 07302
Provident Financial Services Inc is the holding company for The Provident Bank, a community-oriented bank. The company provides a comprehensive array of financial products and services through its network of branches throughout northern and central New Jersey, and certain counties in Pennsylvania. The company's strategy emphasizes growing high-return businesses in nonstandard markets, and maintaining a secured capital structure. Commercial loans represent a plurality of the company's loans, followed by construction loans. The majority of the revenue-generating activities that are components of non-interest income are These revenue streams can generally be classified into three broad categories: wealth management revenue, insurance agency income, and banking service charges and other fees.
Executives
James P Dunigan director 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Vito Giannola officer: EVP & Chief Retail Banking Ofc C/O SUSSEX BANCORP, 399 ROUTE 23, FRANKLIN NJ 07416
Walter Sierotko officer: EVP/CLO of Provident Bank 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Frank L Fekete director
Bennett Macdougall officer: EVP, General Counsel, Sec 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
George Lista officer: President/CEO SB One Insurance C/O SUSSEX BANK, 399 ROUTE 23, FRANKLIN NJ 07416
Anthony J Labozzetta director, officer: President and COO SUSSEX BANCORP, 399 ROUTE 23, FRANKLIN NJ 07416
Adriano M. Duarte officer: EVP & CAO of Provident Bank 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Matthew K. Harding director 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Robert Mcnerney director C/O SUSSEX BANK, 399 ROUTE 23, FRANKLIN NJ 07416
James A. Christy officer: SVP, CRO of Provident Bank, other: General Auditor 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Ravi Vakacherla officer: Chief Digital & Innovation Off 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Valerie O Murray officer: SVP & Chief Wealth Mgmt Ofc 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
John Pugliese director 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Nadine Duchemin-leslie director 239 WASHINGTON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302