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Rayonier Advanced Materials (Rayonier Advanced Materials) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $13.63 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Rayonier Advanced Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.63. The stock price of Rayonier Advanced Materials is $4.30. Therefore, Rayonier Advanced Materials's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Rayonier Advanced Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

RYAM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18   Med: 0.31   Max: 0.57
Current: 0.32

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Rayonier Advanced Materials was 0.57. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 0.31.

RYAM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
95.33% of 1070 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.205 vs RYAM: 0.32

Rayonier Advanced Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rayonier Advanced Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.79 20.82 22.22 16.99 13.63

Rayonier Advanced Materials Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.99 16.57 16.13 14.05 13.63

Competitive Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, Rayonier Advanced Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rayonier Advanced Materials Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Rayonier Advanced Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rayonier Advanced Materials's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Rayonier Advanced Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Rayonier Advanced Materials's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $30.82.

Rayonier Advanced Materials's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*30.82016+746.447*0.8)/65.360
=13.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Rayonier Advanced Materials  (NYSE:RYAM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Rayonier Advanced Materials's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=4.30/13.625709293817
=0.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Rayonier Advanced Materials Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Rayonier Advanced Materials (Rayonier Advanced Materials) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1301 Riverplace Boulevard, Suite 2300, Jacksonville, FL, USA, 32207
Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc manufactures high-purity cellulose derived from wood. Also known as cellulose specialties, the company's products are used in a variety of applications, including cigarette filters, liquid crystal displays, paints, pharmaceuticals, and food. The company operates in the reportable segments of High Purity Cellulose, Paperboard, High-Yield Pulp, and Corporate and Other. The key revenue is derived from the High Purity Cellulose segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States.
Executives
Bryan D Yokley director 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Posze James L Jr officer: SVP, Human Resources 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Joshua C. Hicks officer: SVP, High Purity Cellulose 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Julie Dill director 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Delyle W Bloomquist director RAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS INC., 1301 RIVERPLACE BLVD., SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Lisa M Palumbo director C/O EDO CORP, 60 EAST 42ND STREET 42ND FL, NEW YORK NY 10165
Michael D Osborne officer: Vice President, Manufacturing 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Charles R Eggert director 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Vito J Consiglio director, officer: President and CEO RAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS INC., 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Ribeyrolle Christian Antoine Lucien officer: Vice President, Biomaterials 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Kenneth James Duffy officer: VP, Sales & Marketing, HYP etc 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Charles E Adair director
Gabriela Garcia officer: CAO, VP, Corporate Controller 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
Anthony R Matthews officer: VP, Supply Chain 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207
David C Mariano director 1301 RIVERPLACE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2300, JACKSONVILLE FL 32207