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Safehold (Safehold) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $30.01 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Safehold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Safehold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $30.01. The stock price of Safehold is $19.02. Therefore, Safehold's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Safehold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SAFE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63   Med: 0.88   Max: 3.29
Current: 0.63

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Safehold was 3.29. The lowest was 0.63. And the median was 0.88.

SAFE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
53.37% of 549 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs SAFE: 0.63

Safehold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Safehold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Safehold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Safehold Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 24.28 32.48 30.01

Safehold Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.48 32.30 32.56 31.34 30.01

Competitive Comparison of Safehold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Safehold's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Safehold's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Safehold's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Safehold's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Safehold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Safehold's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $24.97.

Safehold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.973715027901*24.96944+2231.253*0.8)/71.118
=30.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Safehold  (NYSE:SAFE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Safehold's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.02/30.005318470236
=0.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Safehold Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Safehold's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Safehold (Safehold) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Safehold Inc (NYSE:SAFE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1114 Avenue of the Americas, 39th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Safehold Inc is a REIT that operates its business by acquiring, managing and capitalizing ground leases. Ground leases are long-term contracts between the landlord (the Company) and a tenant or leaseholder. Ground leases generally represent ownership of the land underlying commercial real estate projects that is net leased by the fee owner of the land to the owners/operators of the real estate projects built thereon.
Executives
Istar Inc. 10 percent owner 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Brett Asnas officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ISTAR, 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, FL. 39, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jesse Hom director 168 ROBINSON ROAD, #37-01, CAPITAL TOWER, SINGAPORE U0 068912
Dean S Adler director, 10 percent owner BELGRAVIA 8TH FL, 1811 CHESTNUT ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Garett Rosenblum officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ISTAR, 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, FL. 39, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jeremy Fox-geen officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ISTAR, 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, FL 39, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jay Sugarman director, officer: Chairman and CEO 24301 WALDEN CENTER DR, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Marcos Alvarado officer: Chief Investment Officer 591 WEST PUTNAM AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Jay S Nydick director 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 27TH FLR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Nina Matis officer: Chief Legal Officer & CIO 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 12TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10036
Andrew C Richardson officer: Interim CFO 527 MADISON AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Geoffrey G Jervis officer: COO and CFO C/O CAPITAL TRUST, INC., 410 PARK AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Stefan M Selig director 2 EAST 70TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10021
Robin Josephs director
Sfty Venture Llc 10 percent owner C/O GIC REAL ESTATE, INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017

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