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United Airlines Holdings (United Airlines Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $19.62 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), United Airlines Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.62. The stock price of United Airlines Holdings is $41.04. Therefore, United Airlines Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for United Airlines Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

UAL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.84   Med: 1.47   Max: 6.06
Current: 2.09

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of United Airlines Holdings was 6.06. The lowest was 0.84. And the median was 1.47.

UAL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
80.14% of 700 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.83 vs UAL: 2.09

United Airlines Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for United Airlines Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United Airlines Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 104.98 31.56 16.43 12.59 19.62

United Airlines Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.59 19.67 33.52 29.62 19.62

Competitive Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, United Airlines Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United Airlines Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, United Airlines Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Airlines Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



United Airlines Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get United Airlines Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-99.04.

United Airlines Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-99.04+9324*0.8)/332.200
=19.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


United Airlines Holdings  (NAS:UAL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

United Airlines Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=41.04/19.615606194869
=2.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


United Airlines Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of United Airlines Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


United Airlines Holdings (United Airlines Holdings) Business Description

Address
233 South Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
United Airlines is a major U.S. network carrier with hubs in San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Denver, Los Angeles, New York/Newark, and Washington, D.C. United operates a hub-and-spoke system that is more focused on international and long-haul travel than its large U.S. peers.
Executives
Kennedy James A C director T ROWE PRICE GROUP INC, 100 E PRATT ST, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Michael D. Leskinen officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Gerald Laderman officer: EVP and CFO 233 S. WACKER DRIVE 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Gregory L Hart officer: EVP & Chief Growth Officer 233 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, 11TH FLOOR HDQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Edward M Philip director C/O HASBRO, INC., 1011 NEWPORT AVENUE, PAWTUCKET RI 02861
Carolyn Corvi director 233 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Barney Harford director C/O ORBITZ WORLDWIDE, INC., 500 W. MADISON STREET, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60661
Michele J Hooper director C/O PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Edward Shapiro director 275 GROVE STREET, NEWTON MA 02466
Chris Kenny officer: Vice President & Controller 233 S. WACKER DRIVE 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Andrew P Nocella officer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer 233 S. WACKER DR. 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Torbjorn J Enqvist officer: EVP & Chief Operations Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Linda P Jojo officer: EVP & Chief Customer Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE 11TH FL WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Kate Gebo officer: EVP HR and Labor Relations 233 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, 11TH FL - WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606
Brett J Hart officer: President 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, 11TH FL - WHQLD, CHICAGO IL 60606