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EVN AG (WBO:EVN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €36.55 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is EVN AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), EVN AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €36.55. The stock price of EVN AG is €27.85. Therefore, EVN AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for EVN AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:EVN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.52   Max: 0.78
Current: 0.76

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of EVN AG was 0.78. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.52.

WBO:EVN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
61.89% of 370 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.04 vs WBO:EVN: 0.76

EVN AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for EVN AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

EVN AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

EVN AG Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.38 28.69 39.73 39.09 36.31

EVN AG Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.49 33.28 34.95 36.31 36.55

Competitive Comparison of EVN AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Diversified subindustry, EVN AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


EVN AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, EVN AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where EVN AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



EVN AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get EVN AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €86.98.

EVN AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.66034680465*86.976+6550.6*0.8)/178.255
=36.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


EVN AG  (WBO:EVN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

EVN AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=27.85/36.552008772159
=0.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


EVN AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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EVN AG (WBO:EVN) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
EVN Platz, Maria Enzersdorf, AUT, A-2344
EVN AG is an Austrian-based utilities company that generates and distributes electricity and operates in natural gas, waste management, water supply, wastewater treatment and thermal waste utilization service. Evn operates in Austria, Bulgaria, North Macedonia, Croatia, Albania and Germany. The company's operations are divided into segments that include Energy, Generation, Networks, South East Europe, Environment and All Other Segments, out of which South East Europe generates maximum revenue. The company earns majority revenue from Austria.
Executives
Friedrich Bußlehner Supervisory Board

EVN AG (WBO:EVN) Headlines