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Henkel AG KGaA (XTER:HEN3) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: €80.98 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Henkel AG KGaA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €80.98. The stock price of Henkel AG KGaA is €71.18. Therefore, Henkel AG KGaA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Henkel AG KGaA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:HEN3' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.83   Med: 1.24   Max: 1.65
Current: 0.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Henkel AG KGaA was 1.65. The lowest was 0.83. And the median was 1.24.

XTER:HEN3's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
62.14% of 1223 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.11 vs XTER:HEN3: 0.88

Henkel AG KGaA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Henkel AG KGaA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Henkel AG KGaA Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 79.06 76.57 80.43 78.53 80.98

Henkel AG KGaA Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 80.43 - 78.53 - 80.98

Competitive Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Henkel AG KGaA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Henkel AG KGaA Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Henkel AG KGaA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Henkel AG KGaA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Henkel AG KGaA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Henkel AG KGaA's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €1,907.57.

Henkel AG KGaA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1907.5714285714+19922*0.8)/421.086
=80.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Henkel AG KGaA  (XTER:HEN3) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Henkel AG KGaA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=71.18/80.977165458877
=0.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Henkel AG KGaA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Henkel AG KGaA (XTER:HEN3) Business Description

Address
Henkelstrasse 67, Duesseldorf, NW, DEU, 40589
Two distinct customer groups constitute Henkel. The consumer segment (around 50% of consolidated 2022 sales) is laundry and home care, including the Persil and Purex laundry detergent brands, and beauty care, including the Schwarzkopf brand in hair care and the Dial brand in hand soap. The adhesives technologies segment makes up the remaining 50% of sales. Sales from Europe accounted for 42% of the firm's consolidated total in 2022, while Asia-Pacific and North America accounted for 17% and 27%, respectively.
Executives
Wolfgang König Board of Directors
Mark Dorn Board of Directors

Henkel AG KGaA (XTER:HEN3) Headlines

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