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Polaris (Polaris) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $91.52 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Polaris Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Polaris's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $91.52. The stock price of Polaris is $85.21. Therefore, Polaris's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Polaris's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PII' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.92   Med: 1.22   Max: 2.42
Current: 0.93

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Polaris was 2.42. The lowest was 0.92. And the median was 1.22.

PII's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
54.9% of 887 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.05 vs PII: 0.93

Polaris Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Polaris's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Polaris Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Polaris Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 74.05 87.19 82.13 84.72 91.52

Polaris Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 83.15 86.76 80.08 91.52 -

Competitive Comparison of Polaris's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Polaris's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Polaris's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Polaris's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Polaris's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Polaris Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Polaris's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $321.39.

Polaris's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.069452086404*321.392+1378.1*0.8)/57.200
=81.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Polaris  (NYSE:PII) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Polaris's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=85.21/81.470513023661
=1.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Polaris Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Polaris's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Polaris (Polaris) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2100 Highway 55, Medina, MN, USA, 55340
Polaris designs and manufactures off-road vehicles, including all-terrain vehicles and side-by-side vehicles for recreational and utility purposes, snowmobiles, and on-road vehicles, including motorcycles, along with the related replacement parts, garments, and accessories. The firm entered the marine market after acquiring Boat Holdings in 2018, offering exposure to new segments of the outdoor lifestyle market. Polaris products retailed through more than 2,500 dealers in North America and through 1,500 international dealers as well as more than 25 subsidiaries and 90 distributors in more than 100 countries outside North America at the end of 2022.
Executives
Robert Paul Mack officer: CFO, EVP-Corp Dev Pres-GAM 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Kevin M Farr director MATTEL, INC., 333 CONTINENTAL BLVD, M1-1518, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Stephen L. Eastman officer: President - PG&A 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Michael T Speetzen officer: CEO XYLEM INC., 1133 WESTCHESTER AVENUE, SUITE N200, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Michael D. Dougherty officer: President-Motorcycles & Int'l 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Dougherty Lucy Clark officer: SVP-Gen Counsel & Secretary 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
James P Williams officer: SVP-CHRO 600 TRAVIS, SUITE 5800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Benjamin D Duke officer: President-Marine 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Kenneth Pucel officer: EVP, Global Ops & CTO 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234
Steven Menneto officer: President-ORV 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Jacob Vogel officer: President-Boats 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Darryl R. Jackson director 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Scott W. Wine officer: Chief Executive Officer 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Christopher Musso officer: President-ORV 2100 HIGHWAY 55, MEDINA MN 55340
Annette K Clayton director 11384 BAYBERRY DRIVE, ROMEO MI 48065

Polaris (Polaris) Headlines

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