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Churchill Downs (Churchill Downs) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $117.15 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Churchill Downs's PEG is 1. Churchill Downs's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Churchill Downs's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $4.69. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $117.15.

As of today (2024-04-19), Churchill Downs's share price is $118.96. Churchill Downs's Peter Lynch fair value is $117.15. Therefore, Churchill Downs's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.02.


The historical rank and industry rank for Churchill Downs's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

CHDN' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.01   Med: 1.77   Max: 4.43
Current: 1.02


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Churchill Downs was 4.43. The lowest was 1.01. And the median was 1.77.


CHDN's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
55.63% of 142 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.21 vs CHDN: 1.02

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Churchill Downs Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Churchill Downs's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Churchill Downs Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.97 - 27.17 100.00 117.15

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 100.00 107.40 112.58 113.90 117.15

Competitive Comparison

For the Gambling subindustry, Churchill Downs's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Churchill Downs Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Churchill Downs's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Churchill Downs's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Churchill Downs Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Churchill Downs's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *4.686
=117.15

Churchill Downs's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $4.69.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Churchill Downs  (NAS:CHDN) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Churchill Downs's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=118.96/117.15
=1.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Churchill Downs Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Churchill Downs's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Churchill Downs (Churchill Downs) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
600 North Hurstbourne Parkway, Suite 400, Louisville, KY, USA, 40222
Churchill Downs Inc is a gaming entertainment, online wagering, and racing company. It operates through three business segments: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing. The TwinSpires segment includes the revenue and expenses for online horse racing and the online and retail sports betting and iGaming wagering business. The company generates more than half of its revenue from the Gaming segment includes revenue from casino properties and associated racetrack or jai alai facilities which support the casino license as applicable.
Executives
Maureen Adams officer: SVP, Gaming Operations 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVLLE KY 40222
Bradley K. Blackwell officer: SVP, General Counsel 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Andrea M Carter director 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Karole Lloyd director 1932 WYNNTON ROAD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Paul C Varga director 850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
R Alex Rankin director 700 CENTRAL AVENUE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Robert L Fealy director 700 CENTRAL AVE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Bridgeman Ulysses L Jr director 7 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Marcia A Dall officer: EVP, and Chief Financial Offic 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Austin W. Miller officer: SVP, Gaming Operations 600 N. HURSTBOURNE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LOUISVILLE KY 40222
Douglas C Grissom director THREE FIRST NATIONAL PLAZA STE 3800, CHICAGO IL 60602
William E Mudd officer: President and COO 700 CENTRAL AVENUE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Daniel P Harrington director 700 CENTRAL AVE, LOUISVILLE KY 40208
Richard L Duchossois director, 10 percent owner
Robert L Evans director, officer: President and CEO TENLANE FARM, 825 STEELE ROAD, VESAILLES KY 40383