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Costco Wholesale (COST) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $211.51 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Costco Wholesale's PEG is 1. Costco Wholesale's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 13.94. Costco Wholesale's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024 was $15.17. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $211.51.

As of today (2024-04-19), Costco Wholesale's share price is $703.14. Costco Wholesale's Peter Lynch fair value is $211.51. Therefore, Costco Wholesale's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 3.32.


The historical rank and industry rank for Costco Wholesale's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

COST' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.85   Med: 3.76   Max: 5.81
Current: 3.32


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Costco Wholesale was 5.81. The lowest was 1.85. And the median was 3.76.


COST's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
94.12% of 136 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 1.06 vs COST: 3.32

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Costco Wholesale Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 53.89 60.63 112.20 156.80 191.65

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 174.36 177.61 191.65 202.53 211.51

Competitive Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Costco Wholesale Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Costco Wholesale's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 13.94 *15.173
=211.51

Costco Wholesale's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $15.17.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Costco Wholesale  (NAS:COST) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 13.94 instead of 15 in this case.

Costco Wholesale's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=703.14/211.51
=3.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Costco Wholesale Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Costco Wholesale's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Costco Wholesale (COST) Business Description

Address
999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Costco operates a membership-based, no-frills retail model, predicated on offering a select product assortment in bulk quantities at bargain prices. The firm avoids maintaining costly product displays by keeping inventory on pallets and limits distribution expenses by storing its inventory at point of sale in the warehouse. Given Costco's frugal cost structure, the firm is able to price its merchandise below competing retailers, driving high sales volume per warehouse and allowing the retailer to generate strong profits on thin margins. Costco operates nearly 600 warehouses in the United States and boasts over 60% market share in the domestic warehouse club industry. Internationally, Costco operates another 270 warehouses, primarily in markets such as Canada, Mexico, Japan, and the U.K.
Executives
W Craig Jelinek officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Yoram Rubananko officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Caton Frates officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Daniel M. Hines other: Principal Acctg Officer 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Richard A Galanti director, officer: Executive VP and CFO 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Pierre Riel officer: EVP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Russell D Miller officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Claudine Adamo officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
James C Klauer officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Patrick J Callans officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Helena Foulkes director ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Susan L Decker director C/O YAHOO INC, 701 FIRST AVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Roland Michael Vachris officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
James P. Murphy officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Kenneth D Denman director