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Shoe Carnival Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $20.04 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Shoe Carnival's PEG is 1. Shoe Carnival's 5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 5.24. Shoe Carnival's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jul. 2021 was $3.83. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $20.04.

As of today (2021-10-16), Shoe Carnival's share price is $32.34. Shoe Carnival's Peter Lynch fair value is $20.04. Therefore, Shoe Carnival's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.61.


The historical rank and industry rank for Shoe Carnival's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:SCVL' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.37   Med: 1.34   Max: 3.38
Current: 1.61

0.37
3.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Shoe Carnival was 3.38. The lowest was 0.37. And the median was 1.34.


NAS:SCVL's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 69 Companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.

( Industry Median: 1.42 vs. NAS:SCVL: 1.61 )

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Shoe Carnival Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shoe Carnival's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shoe Carnival Annual Data
Trend Jan12 Jan13 Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 10.21 12.31 -

Shoe Carnival Quarterly Data
Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 20.04

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Shoe Carnival's Peter Lynch Fair Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Peter Lynch Fair Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Shoe Carnival Peter Lynch Fair Value Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Shoe Carnival's Peter Lynch Fair Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shoe Carnival's Peter Lynch Fair Value falls into.



Shoe Carnival Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Shoe Carnival's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate*EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 5.24 *3.825
=20.04

Shoe Carnival's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jul. 2021 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $3.83.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Shoe Carnival  (NAS:SCVL) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 5.24 instead of 15 in this case.

Shoe Carnival's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=32.34/20.04
=1.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shoe Carnival Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Shoe Carnival's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Shoe Carnival Business Description

Shoe Carnival logo
Industry
Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical NAICS : 448210 SIC : 5661
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
7500 East Columbia Street, Evansville, IN, USA, 47715
Shoe Carnival Inc is a footwear retailer with hundreds of stores in the United States. It offers moderately priced, name-brand dress, casual, and athletic footwear for men, women, and children. Its average store has more than 27,000 pairs of shoes. The company promotes a shopping experience that includes contests, games, and a person on a stage with a microphone to announce limited-time specials. To enable its value-pricing strategy, Shoe Carnival minimizes staffing needs by housing all merchandise on the selling floor and leases store locations in open-air shopping centers. The company buys its merchandise from hundreds of vendors, with Nike and Skechers accounting for a substantial portion of total company sales. All merchandise goes through the company's distribution center in Indiana.
Executives
Sifford Clifton E director, officer: VICE CHAIRMAN & CEO PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SIFFORD CLIFTON E a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Baker Timothy T officer: EXEC. VP - CHIEF RETAIL PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: BAKER TIMOTHY T a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Tomm Charles B. director 201 N. FRANKLIN STREET SUITE 2800 TAMPA FL 33602
Scibetta Carl N. officer: EVP - CHIEF MERCHANDISE OFF. 7500 EAST COLUMBIA STREET EVANSVILLE IN 47715
Kleeberger Kent A director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: KLEEBERGER KENT A a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Aschleman James A director 300 N MERIDIAN ST STE 2700 INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Wood Joseph W director 4896 DEER RIDGE DRIVE SOUTH CARMEL IN 46033
Guthrie Andrea R. director 7500 EAST COLUMBIA STREET EVANSVILLE IN 47715
Jackson W Kerry officer: SENIOR EVP - CFO & CAO PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: JACKSON W KERRY a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Worden Mark J. officer: PRESIDENT & CHIEF CUSTOMER OFF 7500 E. COLUMBIA STREET EVANSVILLE IN 47715
Weaver Wayne J director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD TWO STAMFORD PLAZA 281 TRESSER BLVD P O BOX 1214 STAMFORD CT 06904-1214
Weaver Delores B 10 percent owner TWO STAMFORD PLAZA 281 TRESSER BLVD P O BOX 1214 STAMFORD CT 06904-1214
Gerstel Jeffrey C director 933 MACARTHUR BOULEVARD MAHWAH NJ 07430
Yearwood Kathy A officer: SVP CONTROLLER/PAO 7500 EAST COLUMBIA STREET EVANSVILLE IN 47715
Schoor Gerald W director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SCHOOR GERALD W a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}

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