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The Timken Co (The Timken Co) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $53.07 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, The Timken Co's PEG is 1. The Timken Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 7.56. The Timken Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $7.02. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $53.07.

As of today (2024-04-19), The Timken Co's share price is $85.50. The Timken Co's Peter Lynch fair value is $53.07. Therefore, The Timken Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.61.


The historical rank and industry rank for The Timken Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

TKR' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.55   Med: 1.05   Max: 1.61
Current: 1.61


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of The Timken Co was 1.61. The lowest was 0.55. And the median was 1.05.


TKR's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
59.1% of 1000 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.275 vs TKR: 1.61

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


The Timken Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Timken Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Timken Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 102.55 51.05 80.21 56.77 53.07

The Timken Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.77 52.75 52.26 52.83 53.07

Competitive Comparison

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, The Timken Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Timken Co Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, The Timken Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Timken Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



The Timken Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

The Timken Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 7.56 *7.02
=53.07

The Timken Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $7.02.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


The Timken Co  (NYSE:TKR) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 7.56 instead of 15 in this case.

The Timken Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=85.50/53.07
=1.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Timken Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Timken Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Timken Co (The Timken Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4500 Mount Pleasant Street North West, North Canton, OH, USA, 44720-5450
The Timken Company is a manufacturer of bearings, gear belts, and chain-related products. The company sells its portfolio of bearings, including tapered, spherical and cylindrical roller bearings, and thrust and ball bearings, through a network of authorised dealers to end users or directly to original equipment manufacturers. End-market sectors include general industrial, automotive, rail, energy, heavy truck, defense, agriculture, metals, mining, civil aerospace, construction, pulp and paper, and cement industries. Its segments are Mobile Industries and Process industries. Timken generates its revenue in the United States of America.
Executives
Philip D. Fracassa officer: CFO 1835 DUEBER AVENUE SW, CANTON OH 44706-0928
Christopher A Coughlin officer: President-proc ind & supp chn 1835 DUEBER AVE SW, CANTON OH 44706
Timken John M Jr director 200 MARKET AVE N STE 210, CANTON OH 44702
Hansal N. Patel officer: VP, GC, and Secretary 4500 MOUNT PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Richard G Kyle officer: President-mob ind & aerospace 1835 DUEBER AVE SW, CANTON OH 44706
Jacqueline F Woods director
Natasha Pollock officer: VP - Human Resources 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Landin Bo Hans Olof officer: Group Vice President 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Timken Ward J Jr director, officer: Chairman of the Board 200 MARKET AVE N STE 210, CANTON OH 44702
Ronald J Myers officer: VP - Human Resources 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Sarah C Lauber director 833 EAST MICHIGAN STREET, SUITE 900, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Shelly Marie Chadwick officer: Chief Accounting Officer 6070 PARKLAND BLVD, MAYFIELD HTS. OH 44124
Karl Andreas Roellgen officer: VP - Europe, Asia and Africa 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Frank C Sullivan director
Elizabeth Ann Harrell director 4500 MT. PLEASANT ST. NW, NORTH CANTON OH 44720