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Abu Dhabi Aviation Co (ADX:ADAVIATION) Beneish M-Score

: -2.11 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.11 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Abu Dhabi Aviation Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ADX:ADAVIATION' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.06   Med: -2.37   Max: -1.03
Current: -2.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Abu Dhabi Aviation Co was -1.03. The lowest was -3.06. And the median was -2.37.


Abu Dhabi Aviation Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Abu Dhabi Aviation Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Abu Dhabi Aviation Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.36 -2.76 -2.37 -2.11

Abu Dhabi Aviation Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -2.22 -2.36 -2.38 -2.11

Competitive Comparison

For the Airports & Air Services subindustry, Abu Dhabi Aviation Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Abu Dhabi Aviation Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Abu Dhabi Aviation Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Abu Dhabi Aviation Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Abu Dhabi Aviation Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Abu Dhabi Aviation Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9942+0.528 * 1.1138+0.404 * 0.9458+0.892 * 1.2904+0.115 * 1.0247
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9879+4.679 * 0.013592-0.327 * 0.9798
=-2.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was د.إ1,311 Mil.
Revenue was 725.234 + 720.054 + 547.439 + 622.363 = د.إ2,615 Mil.
Gross Profit was 198.134 + 176.498 + 170.986 + 155.226 = د.إ701 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ2,686 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ6,046 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ2,432 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ147 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ84 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ807 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ504 Mil.
Net Income was 85.794 + 134.808 + 102.061 + 84.732 = د.إ407 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = د.إ0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 191.659 + 79.946 + 178.157 + -124.546 = د.إ325 Mil.
Total Receivables was د.إ1,022 Mil.
Revenue was 631.326 + 543.437 + 432.675 + 419.062 = د.إ2,027 Mil.
Gross Profit was 179.988 + 179.466 + 126.863 + 118.584 = د.إ605 Mil.
Total Current Assets was د.إ2,276 Mil.
Total Assets was د.إ5,591 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was د.إ2,408 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was د.إ149 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was د.إ66 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was د.إ710 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was د.إ527 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1311.48 / 2615.09) / (1022.232 / 2026.5)
=0.501505 / 0.504432
=0.9942

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(604.901 / 2026.5) / (700.844 / 2615.09)
=0.298495 / 0.268
=1.1138

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2686.028 + 2432.446) / 6045.934) / (1 - (2275.816 + 2408.354) / 5590.979)
=0.153402 / 0.162191
=0.9458

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2615.09 / 2026.5
=1.2904

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(149.162 / (149.162 + 2408.354)) / (146.802 / (146.802 + 2432.446))
=0.058323 / 0.056917
=1.0247

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(84.282 / 2615.09) / (66.111 / 2026.5)
=0.032229 / 0.032623
=0.9879

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((503.799 + 807.206) / 6045.934) / ((527.493 + 709.837) / 5590.979)
=0.216841 / 0.221308
=0.9798

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(407.395 - 0 - 325.216) / 6045.934
=0.013592

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Abu Dhabi Aviation Co has a M-score of -2.11 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Abu Dhabi Aviation Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Abu Dhabi Aviation Co (ADX:ADAVIATION) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
P.O. Box 2723, Abu Dhabi, ARE
Website
Abu Dhabi Aviation Co is a commercial airline operator based in the Middle East. Its key revenue-generating segment is that of helicopters and fixed-wing aircraft operations within the United Arab Emirates. Among its other business segments are Commercial Aircraft Operations, Air Cargo, Investments, Helicopter and fixed wing operations and others. The firm generates revenue from the Helicopter & fixed wing operations. Other sources of revenue include training of pilots, rental income from investment properties and other management consultancy services.

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