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IT Tech Packaging (IT Tech Packaging) Beneish M-Score

: -1.58 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.58 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for IT Tech Packaging's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ITP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.33   Med: -2.46   Max: 2.52
Current: -1.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of IT Tech Packaging was 2.52. The lowest was -3.33. And the median was -2.46.


IT Tech Packaging Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for IT Tech Packaging's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

IT Tech Packaging Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.60 -1.07 -2.54 -1.58

IT Tech Packaging Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.67 -2.90 -1.97 -1.58

Competitive Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, IT Tech Packaging's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


IT Tech Packaging Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, IT Tech Packaging's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where IT Tech Packaging's Beneish M-Score falls into.



IT Tech Packaging Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of IT Tech Packaging for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8115+0.528 * 4.1001+0.404 * 1.4651+0.892 * 0.8624+0.115 * 0.8998
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0461+4.679 * -0.112774-0.327 * 1.2362
=-1.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $14.84 Mil.
Revenue was 20.965 + 15.772 + 30.02 + 19.791 = $86.55 Mil.
Gross Profit was 0.25 + -0.153 + 1.18 + -0.277 = $1.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $28.36 Mil.
Total Assets was $194.74 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $83.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $14.23 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $9.08 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $21.42 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4.99 Mil.
Net Income was -3.984 + -1.975 + -1.253 + -2.733 = $-9.95 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1.128 + 0.664 + -0.542 + 0.152 = $-0.85 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5.377 + 1.747 + 0.937 + 4.81 = $12.87 Mil.
Total Receivables was $21.20 Mil.
Revenue was 21.373 + 31.709 + 31.789 + 15.482 = $100.35 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1.026 + 2.784 + 0.634 + 0.31 = $4.75 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $47.17 Mil.
Total Assets was $204.45 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $97.53 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $14.79 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $10.06 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $17.64 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4.78 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(14.839 / 86.548) / (21.203 / 100.353)
=0.171454 / 0.211284
=0.8115

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4.754 / 100.353) / (1 / 86.548)
=0.047373 / 0.011554
=4.1001

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (28.358 + 82.998) / 194.744) / (1 - (47.166 + 97.528) / 204.447)
=0.428193 / 0.292266
=1.4651

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=86.548 / 100.353
=0.8624

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(14.788 / (14.788 + 97.528)) / (14.226 / (14.226 + 82.998))
=0.131664 / 0.146322
=0.8998

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(9.075 / 86.548) / (10.059 / 100.353)
=0.104855 / 0.100236
=1.0461

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4.988 + 21.419) / 194.744) / ((4.784 + 17.641) / 204.447)
=0.135599 / 0.109686
=1.2362

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-9.945 - -0.854 - 12.871) / 194.744
=-0.112774

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

IT Tech Packaging has a M-score of -1.58 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


IT Tech Packaging Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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IT Tech Packaging (IT Tech Packaging) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Science Park, Juli Road, Xushui District, Hebei Province, Baoding City, CHN, 072550
IT Tech Packaging Inc is a holding company engaged in the business of paper manufacturing in China. The company operates as a producer and distributor of paper products. It involves in production and distribution of three categories of paper products: packing paper (corrugating medium paper), offset printing paper, and tissue paper products. It also produces digital photo paper. Its business is structured into two segments Dongfang Paper and Tengsheng Paper which produces offset printing paper and corrugating medium paper, tissue paper and Baoding Shengde which produces face masks and digital photo paper.
Executives
Zhenyong Liu director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ORIENT PAPER, INC., SCIENCE PARK, JULI ROAD, XIUSHUI COUNTY, BAODING CITY,HEBEI PROVINCE F4 072550
Jing Hao officer: Chief Financial Officer SCIENCE PARK, XUSHUI TOWN, BOADING CITY, HEBEI PROVINCE F4 072550
Hon Wai Ku director SUITE 815, 8TH FLOOR, OCEAN CENTRE, HARBOUR CITY, 5 CANTON ROAD, KOWLOON,, HONG KONG F4 0000
Wenbing Wang director 21ST FLOOR, BUILDING B, JIA MING CENTER, NO. 27 DONG SAN HUAN NORTH ROAD, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100020
Winston C Yen officer: Chief Financial Officer 345 S. FIGUEROA STREET, #100, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Drew Bernstein director C/O BERSTEIN & PINCHUK LLP, SEVEN PENN PLAZA SUITE 830, NEW YORK NY 10001
Zhaofang Wang director ROOM 401, UNIT 4, 20TH FLOOR FANGYUANLI, CHAOYANG DISTRICT, BEIJING F4 100061
Fuzeng Liu director SCIENCE PARK, XUSHUI TOWN, BOADING CITY, HEBEI F4 072550
Xiaodong Liu director SCIENCE PARK, XUSHUI TOWN, BOADING CITY, HEBEI F4 072550
Chen Li director SCIENCE PARK, XUSHUI TOWN, BOADING CITY, HEBEI F4 072550
Dahong Zhou officer: Secretary SCIENCE PARK, XUSHUI TOWN, BOADING CITY, HEBEI F4 072550
Max Time Enterprise Ltd 10 percent owner PO BOX 031-088, SHENNAN ZHONG ROAD, SHENZHEN CITY F4 518031
Hui Ping Cheng director, 10 percent owner, officer: President C/O MY QUOTE ZONE, 6130 ELTON AVENUE, LAS VEGAS NV 89107