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Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd  (OTCPK:ANZBY) Beneish M-Score: -2.65 (As of Today)

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company is not an accounting manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely an accounting manipulator.

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd has a M-score of signals that the company is a manipulator.

OTCPK:ANZBY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.7   Max: -1.87
Current: -2.65

-2.7
-1.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd was -1.87. The lowest was -2.70. And the median was -2.42.


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd Annual Data

Sep07 Sep08 Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.47 -2.68 -2.55 -2.65

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd Semi-Annual Data

Sep07 Mar08 Sep08 Mar09 Sep09 Mar10 Sep10 Mar11 Sep11 Mar12 Sep12 Mar13 Sep13 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.55 0.00 -2.65 0.00

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * +0.528 * +0.404 * +0.892 * +0.115 *
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * +4.679 * -0.327 *
=

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

This Year (Sep16) TTM:Last Year (Sep15) TTM:
Accounts Receivable was $0 Mil.
Revenue was $15,588 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $694,661 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,674 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,120 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,736 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $16,677 Mil.
Net Income was $4,335 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $8,232 Mil.
Accounts Receivable was $0 Mil.
Revenue was $14,870 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $0 Mil.
Total Assets was $628,017 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,567 Mil.
(DDA) was $674 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,316 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $12,004 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Accounts Receivable in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 15587.6993166) / (0 / 14870.1482004)
=0 / 0
=

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(0 / 14870.1482004) / (0 / 15587.6993166)
=0 / 0
=

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 1674.25968109) / 694661.351557) / (1 - (0 + 1567.39590685) / 628016.937191)
=0.99758982 / 0.99750421
=

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15587.6993166 / 14870.1482004
=

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(673.959068454 / (673.959068454 + 1567.39590685)) / (1119.96962794 / (1119.96962794 + 1674.25968109))
=0.3006927 / 0.40081522
=

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of c in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4735.76309795 / 15587.6993166) / (4316.16090332 / 14870.1482004)
=0.30381412 / 0.29025675
=

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase$sgai= in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16677.2968869 + 0) / 694661.351557) / ((12003.5285815 + 0) / 628016.937191)
=0.02400781 / 0.01911338
=

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4334.85193622 - 0 - 8231.58694002) / 694661.351557
=-0.0056

An M-Score of less than -2.22 suggests that the company will not be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -2.22 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd has a M-score of signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


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