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BlueScope Steel (ASX:BSL) Beneish M-Score

: -2.82 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:BSL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.95   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.03
Current: -2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of BlueScope Steel was -2.03. The lowest was -2.95. And the median was -2.64.


BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BlueScope Steel Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.92 -2.85 -2.39 -2.03 -2.82

BlueScope Steel Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.03 - -2.82 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BlueScope Steel's Beneish M-Score falls into.



BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of BlueScope Steel for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9077+0.528 * 1.1941+0.404 * 1.0636+0.892 * 0.957+0.115 * 0.9017
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.141+4.679 * -0.079717-0.327 * 0.7973
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$1,854 Mil.
Revenue was A$18,174 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$6,623 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$6,758 Mil.
Total Assets was A$15,935 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$6,029 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$658 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$3,150 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$3,474 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$614 Mil.
Net Income was A$1,009 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$129 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$2,151 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$2,134 Mil.
Revenue was A$18,991 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$8,264 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$7,884 Mil.
Total Assets was A$16,611 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$5,641 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$550 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$2,885 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$4,743 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$603 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1854 / 18174.2) / (2134.4 / 18990.9)
=0.102013 / 0.112391
=0.9077

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8263.8 / 18990.9) / (6623.1 / 18174.2)
=0.435145 / 0.364423
=1.1941

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6757.8 + 6029.1) / 15935.1) / (1 - (7883.8 + 5641.2) / 16610.5)
=0.197564 / 0.185756
=1.0636

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=18174.2 / 18990.9
=0.957

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(549.5 / (549.5 + 5641.2)) / (658.3 / (658.3 + 6029.1))
=0.088762 / 0.098439
=0.9017

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3150 / 18174.2) / (2884.8 / 18990.9)
=0.173323 / 0.151904
=1.141

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((614.2 + 3474.4) / 15935.1) / ((602.5 + 4743.1) / 16610.5)
=0.256578 / 0.321821
=0.7973

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1009.2 - 128.6 - 2150.9) / 15935.1
=-0.079717

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

BlueScope Steel has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


BlueScope Steel Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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BlueScope Steel (ASX:BSL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
181 William Street, Level 24, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
BlueScope is an Australian-based steelmaking firm with five business units. The Australian Steel Products segment mainly specializes in branded coated and painted flat steel products, sold domestically. North Star is the group's U.S. mini-mill specializing in the production of hot rolled coil for U.S. construction and automotive sectors. Building Products Asia and North America operate across Southeast Asia, China, India, and the U.S. West Coast involved in metal-coating, painting, and roll-forming. New Zealand Steel and the Pacific Islands business produces flat and long steel products for New Zealand and building components for the Pacific Islands. The Buildings North America segment specializes in non-residential buildings, including materials manufacturing and support services.