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National Australia Bank (ASX:NABPD.PFD) Beneish M-Score

: -2.21 (As of Today)
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Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Australia Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:NABPD.PFD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.76   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.21
Current: -2.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Australia Bank was -2.21. The lowest was -2.76. And the median was -2.54.


National Australia Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Australia Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0273+0.892 * 1.1255+0.115 * 0.9402
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9161+4.679 * 0.03221-0.327 * 1.0488
=-2.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$0.00 Mil.
Revenue was A$20,630.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$20,630.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$120,197.00 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,059,083.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$3,016.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1,214.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$2,489.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$8,500.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$197,792.00 Mil.
Net Income was A$7,414.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$-26,699.00 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$0.00 Mil.
Revenue was A$18,329.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$18,329.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$144,527.00 Mil.
Total Assets was A$1,055,126.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$3,009.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1,112.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$2,414.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$4,228.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$191,725.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 20630) / (0 / 18329)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18329 / 18329) / (20630 / 20630)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (120197 + 3016) / 1059083) / (1 - (144527 + 3009) / 1055126)
=0.883661 / 0.860172
=1.0273

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=20630 / 18329
=1.1255

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1112 / (1112 + 3009)) / (1214 / (1214 + 3016))
=0.269837 / 0.286998
=0.9402

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2489 / 20630) / (2414 / 18329)
=0.12065 / 0.131704
=0.9161

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((197792 + 8500) / 1059083) / ((191725 + 4228) / 1055126)
=0.194784 / 0.185715
=1.0488

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7414 - 0 - -26699) / 1059083
=0.03221

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Australia Bank has a M-score of -2.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


National Australia Bank Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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National Australia Bank (ASX:NABPD.PFD) Business Description

Address
395 Bourke Street, Level 28, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3000
National Australia Bank is the most business-focused of the four major banks, holding the largest share of business loans and the number-three spot in home loans. National Australia Bank is currently the third-largest bank by market capitalization, with the franchise covering consumer, small business, corporate, and institutional sectors. Under the UBank brand the bank also owns one of Australia's largest digital-only banks. Offshore operations in New Zealand round out the group.