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Namoi Cotton (ASX:NAM) Beneish M-Score : 2.05 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Namoi Cotton Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 2.05 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Namoi Cotton's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:NAM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.32   Max: 2.05
Current: 2.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Namoi Cotton was 2.05. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.32.


Namoi Cotton Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Namoi Cotton's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Namoi Cotton Beneish M-Score Chart

Namoi Cotton Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.18 -2.68 -1.34 1.67 2.05

Namoi Cotton Semi-Annual Data
Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.34 - 1.67 - 2.05

Competitive Comparison of Namoi Cotton's Beneish M-Score

For the Farm Products subindustry, Namoi Cotton's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Namoi Cotton's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Namoi Cotton's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Namoi Cotton's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Namoi Cotton Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Namoi Cotton for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5032+0.528 * 1.0164+0.404 * 14.7167+0.892 * 0.9563+0.115 * 0.9817
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8332+4.679 * -0.141678-0.327 * 0.6673
=2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb24) TTM:Last Year (Feb23) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$6.9 Mil.
Revenue was A$243.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$104.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$29.4 Mil.
Total Assets was A$191.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$157.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$11.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$66.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$13.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$29.2 Mil.
Net Income was A$6.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$2.7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$31.3 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$14.3 Mil.
Revenue was A$254.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$111.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$44.8 Mil.
Total Assets was A$203.3 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$158.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$11.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$83.9 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$29.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$38.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6.879 / 243.077) / (14.296 / 254.195)
=0.0283 / 0.05624
=0.5032

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(111.309 / 254.195) / (104.726 / 243.077)
=0.437888 / 0.430835
=1.0164

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (29.425 + 157.227) / 191.589) / (1 - (44.798 + 158.151) / 203.305)
=0.025769 / 0.001751
=14.7167

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=243.077 / 254.195
=0.9563

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(11.094 / (11.094 + 158.151)) / (11.249 / (11.249 + 157.227))
=0.06555 / 0.066769
=0.9817

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(66.849 / 243.077) / (83.902 / 254.195)
=0.275012 / 0.330069
=0.8332

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((29.184 + 13.61) / 191.589) / ((38.326 + 29.722) / 203.305)
=0.223364 / 0.334709
=0.6673

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6.9 - 2.741 - 31.303) / 191.589
=-0.141678

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Namoi Cotton has a M-score of 2.05 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Namoi Cotton Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Namoi Cotton Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
259 Ruthven Street, Toowoomba, QLD, AUS, 4350
Namoi Cotton Ltd is engaged in the processing of cotton. The company is involved in the provision of cotton ginning services to cotton farmers, the marketing of cotton seed and by-products of the ginning process and, participation in the marketing of cotton lint bales. Its operating divisions are Ginning Services and Supply Chain & Marketing. The firm generates a majority of its revenue from the Ginning services.

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